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Keon Ellis

Brooklyn Nets

Value call

Keon Ellis (Brooklyn Nets) has one live pick today: under 8.5 pts rebs that pays $245 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
52 in 100
Predicted
7.2 Pts + Rebs
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 52.3% · before adjusting for past results 67.5% · the book's price implies 40.8% · gap +11.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
Indiana Pacers @ Brooklyn Nets
Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY · Indoor
Sun 25 Oct, 6:00 PM ET
Keon Ellis
under 8.5 pts rebs
Pts + Rebs Under 8.5 +145 (2.45) · $100→$245
Value call
LEANWins about 52 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$24.50 Odds+145
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Keon Ellis is Under 8.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On Points + Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 52 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 52%, the price says 41%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 3:28PM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs67.5%52.3%40.8%1.91+26.7%

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AI Analysis

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Brooklyn Nets vs Indiana Pacers: Keon Ellis Under 8.5 Pts + Rebs (+145)

Odds correct at time of publishing

You can get Keon Ellis to score under 8.5 points and rebounds at +145 odds. Our numbers give this pick a good chance because the Indiana Pacers allow a lot of threes and rebounds, but Ellis might not get as many chances as you'd think. The Pacers give up 44.9 rebounds a game, which is pretty high, but Ellis's role might keep him from racking up points or boards. Plus, the Pacers force turnovers at a decent rate, which could limit Brooklyn's scoring opportunities. They also allow a lot of three-point attempts, so Brooklyn could focus on shooting from deep rather than going inside. The biggest risk here is how close both teams are in terms of pace and scoring, so it might be a nail-biter.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 7 of last 10(70%)

Keon Ellis — 2024-25 season averages

Over 81 games in the 2024-25 season, Keon Ellis averaged 8.3 points, 2.6 rebounds and 1.5 assists in 24.3 minutes per game, shooting 49.1% from the field and 43.5% from three-point range.

8.3
PPG
2.6
RPG
1.5
APG
1.5
SPG
0.8
BPG
24.3
MPG
49.1%
FG%
43.5%
3P%

Keon Ellis — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Keon Ellis has played 29.6 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

29.6
MPG (L5)
9.0
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Keon Ellis — home vs away scoring

At home Keon Ellis averages 9.1 points per game; on the road, 7.6. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

9.1
PPG at home
7.6
PPG on the road

Keon Ellis — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Keon Ellis has averaged 7.0 points, 2.8 rebounds and 1.5 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
16 Aprvs DAL18911
13 Aprvs PHX29923
11 Aprvs LAC32511
9 Aprvs DEN322062
7 Apr@ DET37260
6 Apr@ CLE401133
4 Apr@ CHA23320
2 Apr@ WSH22230
31 Mar@ IND27934
29 Mar@ ORL18011
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
24 Oct 26 Brooklyn Nets @ Cleveland Cavaliers Pts + Rebs + Asts 11.5 Under -101 ✓ HIT
24 Oct 26 Brooklyn Nets @ Cleveland Cavaliers Assists 2.5 Under -154 ✓ HIT
24 Oct 26 Brooklyn Nets @ Cleveland Cavaliers Pts + Rebs 8.5 Under +150 ✓ HIT
25 Oct 26 Indiana Pacers @ Brooklyn Nets Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
25 Oct 26 Indiana Pacers @ Brooklyn Nets Points — — — Pending
24 Oct 26 Brooklyn Nets @ Cleveland Cavaliers Points — — — Pending

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About This Player

Keon Ellis (Brooklyn Nets) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Keon Ellis is Under 8.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +26.7% on this pick. Their next game is Indiana Pacers vs Brooklyn Nets on Sunday 25 October at Barclays Center, Brooklyn. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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