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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Keon Ellis is Under 13.5 on Points + Assists.
On Points + Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 78 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 78%, implied 51%, edge +26.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 13, 5:30AM UTC
NBA

Keon Ellis

Cleveland Cavaliers

+26.3% Edge
🔥 3 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Asts Under 13.5 -105 (1.95) · $100→$195
+26.3% Edge
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Memphis Grizzlies
FedExForum, Memphis, TN · Indoor
Tue 7 Apr, 12:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
78 in 100
Predicted
8.7 Pts + Asts
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 77.6% · the book's price implies 51.3% · gap +26.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Asts77.6%51.3%1.29+26.3%

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AI Analysis

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Keon Ellis (Cleveland Cavaliers) Under 13.5 Points + Assists (-105)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As Keon Ellis takes the court against the Cleveland Cavaliers, there's a compelling case for targeting the Under on his combined points and assists at 13.5. While Ellis has shown flashes of potential, his recent away performances paint a different picture. Averaging just 7.8 points on the road and a mere 1.4 assists, he struggles to make a mark outside of familiar surroundings. Against the Cavs specifically, he's averaging only 5.4 points and has produced a scant 1.7 points in previous away matchups. With his recent output of 9.4 points and 1 assist overall, it's clear he's not trending toward the 13.5 mark. Furthermore, with a hit rate of just 0.3 assists in his last away game against Cleveland, it seems likely that Ellis will find it tough to break through here. Betting the Under feels like the smart play for this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Keon Ellis — 2024-25 season averages

Over 81 games in the 2024-25 season, Keon Ellis averaged 8.3 points, 2.6 rebounds and 1.5 assists in 24.3 minutes per game, shooting 49.1% from the field and 43.5% from three-point range.

8.3
PPG
2.6
RPG
1.5
APG
1.5
SPG
0.8
BPG
24.3
MPG
49.1%
FG%
43.5%
3P%

Keon Ellis — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Keon Ellis has played 29.6 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

29.6
MPG (L5)
9.0
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Keon Ellis — home vs away scoring

At home Keon Ellis averages 9.1 points per game; on the road, 7.6. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

9.1
PPG at home
7.6
PPG on the road

Keon Ellis — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Keon Ellis has averaged 7.0 points, 2.8 rebounds and 1.5 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
16 Aprvs DAL18911
13 Aprvs PHX29923
11 Aprvs LAC32511
9 Aprvs DEN322062
7 Apr@ DET37260
6 Apr@ CLE401133
4 Apr@ CHA23320
2 Apr@ WSH22230
31 Mar@ IND27934
29 Mar@ ORL18011
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Keon Ellis (Cleveland Cavaliers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Keon Ellis is currently on a 3-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Keon Ellis is Under 13.5 on Points + Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +26.3% on this pick. Their next game is Cleveland Cavaliers vs Memphis Grizzlies on Tuesday 7 April at FedExForum, Memphis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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