Keon Ellis (Sacramento Kings) Over 5.5 Points (-139)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishingAs we look ahead to the matchup between the Orlando Magic and Cleveland Cavaliers, Keon Ellis stands out as a prime candidate for an over on 5.5 points. He's been quietly efficient, averaging 5.4 points over his last five games but has really found his stride at home, where he's upped that average to 7.6.What's particularly enticing is his recent performance against the Cavaliers-he's averaged 10.3 points in their last five encounters. The Cavaliers' defense has struggled against players in his position, allowing 9.5 points to similar opponents lately. With a robust 15 of his last 20 games hitting the over, and a home hit rate of 16 out of 20, the odds are definitely in our favor. At a solid expected stat value of 8.46, targeting Ellis for the over feels like a smart play as he looks to shine on his home court.