Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
NBA

Keon Ellis

Brooklyn Nets

Value call

Keon Ellis (Brooklyn Nets) has one live pick today: under 5.5 points that pays $255 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
50 in 100
Predicted
5.7 points
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 49.8% · before adjusting for past results 60.8% · the book's price implies 39.2% · gap +10.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Brooklyn Nets @ Boston Celtics
TD Garden, Boston, MA · Indoor
Tue 27 Oct, 7:30 PM ET
Keon Ellis
under 5.5 points
Points Under 5.5 +155 (2.55) · $100→$255
Value call
LEANWins about 50 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$25.50 Odds+155
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Keon Ellis is Under 5.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 50 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 50%, the price says 39%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Nov 15, 4:05PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nba pts + rebs unders: +$4,002 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points60.8%49.8%39.2%2.01+21.6%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Boston Celtics vs Brooklyn Nets: Keon Ellis Under 5.5 Points (+155)

Odds correct at time of publishing

For Keon Ellis to score under 5.5 points tonight, the Celtics will need to focus on their strong defense. Boston has been solid at forcing turnovers, which can limit scoring opportunities. They also allow a fair amount of three-point attempts, but since Ellis is not typically a high-volume scorer, he might struggle to find his rhythm against a tough Celtics defense. Another thing to consider is that the Nets also have a good defensive setup. They give up a decent number of rebounds, but they don't allow many easy shots. With the game being close and both teams playing hard, Ellis might find it tough to hit that 6-point mark tonight.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 7 of last 10(70%)
Overall Hit Rate (30 picks) 53.3% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Keon Ellis — 2024-25 season averages

Over 81 games in the 2024-25 season, Keon Ellis averaged 8.3 points, 2.6 rebounds and 1.5 assists in 24.3 minutes per game, shooting 49.1% from the field and 43.5% from three-point range.

8.3
PPG
2.6
RPG
1.5
APG
1.5
SPG
0.8
BPG
24.3
MPG
49.1%
FG%
43.5%
3P%

Keon Ellis — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Keon Ellis has played 29.6 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

29.6
MPG (L5)
9.0
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Keon Ellis — home vs away scoring

At home Keon Ellis averages 9.1 points per game; on the road, 7.6. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

9.1
PPG at home
7.6
PPG on the road

Keon Ellis — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Keon Ellis has averaged 7.0 points, 2.8 rebounds and 1.5 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
16 Aprvs DAL18911
13 Aprvs PHX29923
11 Aprvs LAC32511
9 Aprvs DEN322062
7 Apr@ DET37260
6 Apr@ CLE401133
4 Apr@ CHA23320
2 Apr@ WSH22230
31 Mar@ IND27934
29 Mar@ ORL18011
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Oct 26 Brooklyn Nets @ Boston Celtics Points 5.5 Under +155 ✓ HIT
24 Oct 26 Brooklyn Nets @ Cleveland Cavaliers Pts + Rebs + Asts 11.5 Under -101 ✓ HIT
24 Oct 26 Brooklyn Nets @ Cleveland Cavaliers Assists 2.5 Under -154 ✓ HIT
25 Oct 26 Indiana Pacers @ Brooklyn Nets Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
25 Oct 26 Indiana Pacers @ Brooklyn Nets Points — — — Pending
24 Oct 26 Brooklyn Nets @ Cleveland Cavaliers Points — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Keon Ellis (Brooklyn Nets) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 53.3% on tracked Keon Ellis picks. The latest model pick for Keon Ellis is Under 5.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.6% on this pick. Their next game is Brooklyn Nets vs Boston Celtics on Tuesday 27 October at TD Garden, Boston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.