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Keon Ellis

Cleveland Cavaliers

+13.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Rebounds Under 2.5 +134 (2.34)
+13.4% Edge
Indiana Pacers @ Cleveland Cavaliers
Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland
Sun 5 Apr, 10:00PM
Model Probability
56.1%
Implied Probability
42.7%
Model Edge
+13.4%
Predicted Value
2.1 Rebounds

AI Analysis

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Keon Ellis (Cleveland Cavaliers) Under 2.5 Rebounds (+134)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When the Cleveland Cavaliers host the Indiana Pacers, all eyes should be on Keon Ellis, particularly when it comes to his rebounding numbers. Sure, his recent form has seen him average 2.4 rebounds at home, but let's consider the bigger picture. In their last five encounters, he's only managed a mere 0.3 rebounds against the Pacers, and notably, he hasn't snagged a single board when playing them at home. With an average of just 1.8 rebounds in his last five games, the 2.5 line feels a touch high. Not to mention, the Cavs have been solid in limiting second-chance opportunities, which doesn't bode well for Ellis' chances of hitting the over. Given the context-and the fact that he's hit the under in 14 of his last 20 home games-betting on him to stay under 2.5 rebounds seems like a savvy move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (6 picks) 83.3% (5/6)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Apr 26 Indiana Pacers @ Cleveland Cavaliers Rebounds 2.5 Under +134 ✗ MISS
27 Mar 26 Miami Heat @ Cleveland Cavaliers Pts + Rebs + Asts 18.5 Under -135 ✓ HIT
27 Mar 26 Miami Heat @ Cleveland Cavaliers Pts + Rebs 16.5 Under -125 ✓ HIT
27 Mar 26 Miami Heat @ Cleveland Cavaliers Pts + Asts Pending
27 Mar 26 Miami Heat @ Cleveland Cavaliers Points Pending
11 Mar 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Orlando Magic Points Pending

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About This Player

Keon Ellis (Cleveland Cavaliers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 6 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 83.3% (5/6). The latest model pick for Keon Ellis is Under 2.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.4% on this pick. Their next game is Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers on Sunday 5 April at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.