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De'Anthony Melton

Golden State Warriors

Value call

De'Anthony Melton (Golden State Warriors) has one live pick today: under 9.5 points that pays $290 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
40 in 100
Predicted
8.9 points
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 39.9% · before adjusting for past results 62.8% · the book's price implies 34.5% · gap +5.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
Golden State Warriors @ San Antonio Spurs
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX · Indoor
Fri 13 Nov, 9:30 PM ET
De'Anthony Melton
under 9.5 points
Points Under 9.5 +190 (2.90) · $100→$290
Value call
LEANWins about 40 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$29.00 Odds+190
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for De'Anthony Melton is Under 9.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 40 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 40%, the price says 34%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Nov 15, 4:06PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nba pts + rebs unders: +$4,002 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points62.8%39.9%34.5%2.51+28.3%

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AI Analysis

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San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors: De'Anthony Melton Under 9.5 Points (+190)

Odds correct at time of publishing

De'Anthony Melton has a tough matchup against the Golden State Warriors. They are known for their strong defense and can be hard to score against, especially when it comes to limiting opponent points. The way the Warriors play also means they can make it tricky for players to find open shots, and they force turnovers more often than most teams. With the pressure of this game, betting on Melton to score under 9.5 points feels like a solid choice. The Warriors have a history of keeping scoring down, and while Melton can surprise us, he might struggle to get his points against this defense. Just remember, there's always a chance he could exceed expectations, so keep that in mind!

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 9 of last 10(90%)

De'Anthony Melton — 2024-25 season averages

Over 7 games in the 2024-25 season, De'Anthony Melton averaged 8.9 points, 2.9 rebounds and 2.4 assists in 17.3 minutes per game, shooting 40.7% from the field and 37.1% from three-point range.

8.9
PPG
2.9
RPG
2.4
APG
1.0
SPG
0.3
BPG
17.3
MPG
40.7%
FG%
37.1%
3P%

De'Anthony Melton — recent role

Across his last 5 games, De'Anthony Melton has played 17.6 minutes per game and started 40% of them.

17.6
MPG (L5)
10.2
PPG (L5)
40%
Started

De'Anthony Melton — home vs away scoring

At home De'Anthony Melton averages 7.3 points per game; on the road, 10.0. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

7.3
PPG at home
10.0
PPG on the road

De'Anthony Melton — scoring by opponent

De'Anthony Melton scores most against the IND, averaging 13.4 points per game in that matchup.

13.4
IND
12.6
BKN
12.3
SAC
10.9
DEN
10.4
WSH
10.4
HOU

De'Anthony Melton — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, De'Anthony Melton has averaged 7.0 points, 2.5 rebounds and 2.2 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
15 Decvs DAL0000
12 Novvs DAL261444
10 Nov@ OKC2719102
8 Nov@ CLE181023
27 Octvs LAC17810
25 Oct@ UTAH14014
23 Oct@ POR191124
28 Aprvs NY7011
12 Aprvs ORL5311
9 Aprvs DET16533
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Nov 26 Golden State Warriors @ San Antonio Spurs Points 9.5 Under +190 ✓ HIT
13 Nov 26 Golden State Warriors @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Asts 13.5 Under +145 ✓ HIT
13 Nov 26 Golden State Warriors @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs + Asts 17.5 Under +145 ✓ HIT
13 Nov 26 Golden State Warriors @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
13 Nov 26 Golden State Warriors @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
24 Oct 26 Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns 3-Pointers — — — Pending

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About This Player

De'Anthony Melton (Golden State Warriors) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for De'Anthony Melton is Under 9.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +28.3% on this pick. Their next game is Golden State Warriors vs San Antonio Spurs on Friday 13 November at Frost Bank Center, San Antonio. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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