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The latest Bet Better model pick for De'Anthony Melton is Over 19.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On Points + Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 57 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 57%, implied 41%, edge +15.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 16, 4:32PM UTC
NBA

De'Anthony Melton

Golden State Warriors

+15.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 19.5 +142 (2.42) · $100→$242
+15.4% Edge
Brooklyn Nets @ Golden State Warriors
Chase Center, San Francisco, CA · Indoor
Thu 26 Mar, 2:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
57 in 100
Predicted
20.7 Pts + Rebs
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 56.7% · the book's price implies 41.3% · gap +15.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs56.7%—41.3%1.76+15.4%

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AI Analysis

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De'Anthony Melton (Golden State Warriors) Over 19.5 Points + Rebounds (+142)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Golden State Warriors host the Brooklyn Nets, all eyes should be on De'Anthony Melton, especially when it comes to his combined points and rebounds. While he's averaging a solid 13.4 points and 2.8 rebounds at home in his last five games, the matchup against the Nets presents a prime opportunity for a breakout. Historically, he's scored an impressive 15.8 points per game against Brooklyn at home, showing he knows how to exploit their defensive lapses.With an average of 3.4 rebounds against them, Melton has the potential to stack up numbers in both categories. His hit rate of 3 out of the last 6 at home further supports the case for him to exceed the 19.5 mark. Given his expected stat value of 20.67, this feels like a strong spot for Melton to shine. Bet on him to eclipse that threshold, as the stars align for a productive night.

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Pick History & Track Record

De'Anthony Melton — 2024-25 season averages

Over 7 games in the 2024-25 season, De'Anthony Melton averaged 8.9 points, 2.9 rebounds and 2.4 assists in 17.3 minutes per game, shooting 40.7% from the field and 37.1% from three-point range.

8.9
PPG
2.9
RPG
2.4
APG
1.0
SPG
0.3
BPG
17.3
MPG
40.7%
FG%
37.1%
3P%

De'Anthony Melton — recent role

Across his last 5 games, De'Anthony Melton has played 17.6 minutes per game and started 40% of them.

17.6
MPG (L5)
10.2
PPG (L5)
40%
Started

De'Anthony Melton — home vs away scoring

At home De'Anthony Melton averages 7.3 points per game; on the road, 10.0. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

7.3
PPG at home
10.0
PPG on the road

De'Anthony Melton — scoring by opponent

De'Anthony Melton scores most against the IND, averaging 13.4 points per game in that matchup.

13.4
IND
12.6
BKN
12.3
SAC
10.9
DEN
10.4
WSH
10.4
HOU

De'Anthony Melton — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, De'Anthony Melton has averaged 7.0 points, 2.5 rebounds and 2.2 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
15 Decvs DAL0000
12 Novvs DAL261444
10 Nov@ OKC2719102
8 Nov@ CLE181023
27 Octvs LAC17810
25 Oct@ UTAH14014
23 Oct@ POR191124
28 Aprvs NY7011
12 Aprvs ORL5311
9 Aprvs DET16533
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

De'Anthony Melton (Golden State Warriors) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for De'Anthony Melton is Over 19.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.4% on this pick. Their next game is Brooklyn Nets vs Golden State Warriors on Thursday 26 March at Chase Center, San Francisco. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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