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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Caris LeVert is Under 17.5 on Pts + Rebs + Asts.
On the Pts + Rebs + Asts market the model assigns a model win probability of 77%, versus the book's implied 55%, for a model edge of +22.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:04PM UTC
NBA

Caris LeVert

Detroit Pistons

+22.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs + Asts Under 17.5 -120 (1.83)
+22.8% Edge
Golden State Warriors @ Detroit Pistons
Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI · Indoor
Fri 20 Mar, 11:30PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
77.5%
Implied Probability
54.6%
Model Edge
+22.8%
Predicted Value
11.8 Pts + Rebs + Asts

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs + Asts77.5%54.6%1.29+22.8%

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AI Analysis

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Caris LeVert (Detroit Pistons) Under 17.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-120)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Pistons welcome the Warriors, all eyes will be on Caris LeVert, but betting on him to score above 17.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists might be risky. His recent form isn't encouraging; over the last five games, he averaged just 8.8 points, 2.8 rebounds, and 2.6 assists-numbers that paint a stark picture. Even at home, where he's historically performed better, LeVert's averages dip significantly to 5.2 points and a mere 1.2 assists.Sure, he's had some success against Golden State in the past, averaging 12.2 points, but the consistency simply isn't there. With a home hit rate of 14/14 in his last games, it's easy to see why the under is compelling. With an expected stat value of just 11.82, betting on LeVert to stay under 17.5 feels like a savvy move in this matchup

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
21.5avg · last 10
L522.8Szn18.8Home19.3Away18.2Best60
9+92%
14+71%
19+50%
24+26%
29+12%
Game log vs O 18.5avg 21.5 · hi 39 · lo 12
13122321321912391628

Caris LeVert is averaging 21.5 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 18.8, best 60). He clears 19+ in 50% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Caris LeVert (Detroit Pistons) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Caris LeVert is Under 17.5 on Pts + Rebs + Asts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +22.8% on this pick. Their next game is Golden State Warriors vs Detroit Pistons on Friday 20 March at Little Caesars Arena, Detroit. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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