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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Caris LeVert is Under 17.5 on Points + Rebounds + Assists.
On the Points + Rebounds + Assists market the model assigns a model win probability of 77%, versus the book's implied 55%, for a model edge of +22.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 8:52AM UTC
NBA

Caris LeVert

Detroit Pistons

+22.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs + Asts Under 17.5 -120 (1.83) · $100→$183
+22.8% Edge
Golden State Warriors @ Detroit Pistons
Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI · Indoor
Fri 20 Mar, 11:30PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
77.5%
Implied Probability
54.6%
Model Edge
+22.8%
Predicted Value
11.8 Pts + Rebs + Asts

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs + Asts77.5%54.6%1.29+22.8%

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AI Analysis

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Caris LeVert (Detroit Pistons) Under 17.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-120)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Pistons welcome the Warriors, all eyes will be on Caris LeVert, but betting on him to score above 17.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists might be risky. His recent form isn't encouraging; over the last five games, he averaged just 8.8 points, 2.8 rebounds, and 2.6 assists-numbers that paint a stark picture. Even at home, where he's historically performed better, LeVert's averages dip significantly to 5.2 points and a mere 1.2 assists.Sure, he's had some success against Golden State in the past, averaging 12.2 points, but the consistency simply isn't there. With a home hit rate of 14/14 in his last games, it's easy to see why the under is compelling. With an expected stat value of just 11.82, betting on LeVert to stay under 17.5 feels like a savvy move in this matchup

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Pick History & Track Record

Caris LeVert — 2024-25 season averages

Over 66 games in the 2024-25 season, Caris LeVert averaged 12.1 points, 3.3 rebounds and 3.4 assists in 25.1 minutes per game, shooting 46.2% from the field and 36.9% from three-point range.

12.1
PPG
3.3
RPG
3.4
APG
0.9
SPG
0.5
BPG
25.1
MPG
46.2%
FG%
36.9%
3P%

Caris LeVert — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Caris LeVert has played 28.4 minutes per game and started 0% of them.

28.4
MPG (L5)
14.0
PPG (L5)
0%
Started

Caris LeVert — points hit rate

Caris LeVert has scored over 12.5 points in 55% of 327 career games.

o11.561%
o12.555%
o15.541%
o20.522%
o25.512%

Caris LeVert — home vs away scoring

At home Caris LeVert averages 12.4 points per game; on the road, 11.8. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

12.4
PPG at home
11.8
PPG on the road

Caris LeVert — scoring by opponent

Caris LeVert scores most against the SA, averaging 17.3 points per game in that matchup.

17.3
SA
17.1
UTAH
17.1
OKC
16.9
PHI
16.6
CHI
16.5
BOS

Caris LeVert — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Caris LeVert has averaged 13.8 points, 4.4 rebounds and 3.3 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
18 Aprvs MIA371576
15 Apr@ ORL25763
11 Apr@ PHI303144
10 Apr@ BKN20435
8 Apr@ ORL301360
6 Aprvs UTAH282156
5 Aprvs NY201443
2 Apr@ DAL241445
1 Aprvs POR261020
30 Mar@ MIL23931
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Caris LeVert (Detroit Pistons) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Caris LeVert is Under 17.5 on Points + Rebounds + Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +22.8% on this pick. Their next game is Golden State Warriors vs Detroit Pistons on Friday 20 March at Little Caesars Arena, Detroit. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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