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Willi Castro

DET

Value call

Willi Castro has one live pick today: under 1.5 total bases that pays $154 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
61 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 60.8% · before adjusting for past results 67.5% · the book's price implies 64.9% · gap -4.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
St. Louis Cardinals @ Colorado Rockies
Coors Field, Denver, Colorado · Outdoor
Fri 4 Sep, 8:40 PM ET
Willi Castro
under 1.5 total bases
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -185 (1.54) · $100→$154
Value call
HIGHWins about 61 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$15.40 Odds-185
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Willi Castro is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On Batter - Total Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 61 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 61%, the price says 65%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 13, 1:28PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 143 of 246 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
Castro (heel/knee) said Wednesday that he will miss the remainder of the 2026 season, MLB.com reports.
updated Sep 17, 4:04PM UTC · 25d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases67.5%60.8%64.9%1.64+2.5%

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AI Analysis

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Willi Castro (DET) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-185)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Colorado Rockies play St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Willi Castro (DET) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-185). That is a Total Bases bet. It was priced at -185 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.41 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 9 of last 10(90%)
Quick answers:How many home runs does Willi Castro hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
31 Aug 26 Baltimore Orioles @ Colorado Rockies Batter - Doubles 0.5 Under -500 ✓ HIT
31 Aug 26 Baltimore Orioles @ Colorado Rockies Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5 Under -104 ✓ HIT
31 Aug 26 Baltimore Orioles @ Colorado Rockies Batter - RBIs 0.5 Under -244 ✓ HIT
31 Aug 26 Baltimore Orioles @ Colorado Rockies Batter - Runs Scored — — — Pending
31 Aug 26 Baltimore Orioles @ Colorado Rockies Batter - Singles — — — Pending
31 Aug 26 Baltimore Orioles @ Colorado Rockies Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending

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About This Player

Willi Castro (DET) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Willi Castro is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.5% on this pick. Their next game is St. Louis Cardinals vs Colorado Rockies on Friday 4 September at Coors Field, Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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