Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tyler Phillips is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On Pitcher - Walks, our numbers say this bet wins about 47 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 47%, implied 60%, edge +17.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 13, 8:47PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Walks
Under 1.5
-149 (1.67) · $100→$167
+17.0% Edge
Pittsburgh Pirates
@
Miami Marlins
loanDepot Park, Miami, Florida · Indoor
Thu 13 Aug, 5:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 629 of 1,212 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Confirmed probable starter
Probable SP vs PIT @ MIA
updated Aug 13, 5:10PM UTC
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How often this wins
77 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 76.9% · the book's price implies 59.9% · gap +17.0%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Walks | 76.9% | 46.9% | 59.9% | 1.80 | +17.0% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/0 |
| Last 5 games | 0/0 |
| Last 10 games | 0/0 |
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Tyler Phillips (MIA) Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-149)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Miami Marlins play Pittsburgh Pirates in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Tyler Phillips (MIA) Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-149). That is a Walks Allowed bet. It was priced at -149 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.71 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Hit-rate ladder: SO
Tyler Phillips has gone over 2.5 SO in 50% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.
o2.550%
o3.530%
o4.520%
o5.50%
Tyler Phillips (MIA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tyler Phillips is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.0% on this pick. Their next game is Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins on Thursday 13 August at loanDepot Park, Miami. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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