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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tyler Freeman is Under 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases.
On the Batter - Stolen Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 99%, versus the book's implied 91%, for a model edge of +8.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 8:21PM UTC
MLB

Tyler Freeman

CLE

+8.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Stolen Bases Under 0.5 -1000 (1.10) · $100→$110
+8.4% Edge
Colorado Rockies @ St. Louis Cardinals
Busch Stadium, St. Louis, Missouri · Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug, 6:15PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
99.3%
Implied Probability
90.9%
Model Edge
+8.4%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Stolen Bases99.3%90.9%1.01+8.4%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Tyler Freeman (CLE) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

St. Louis Cardinals play Colorado Rockies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Tyler Freeman (CLE) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1000). That is a Stolen Bases bet. It was priced at -1000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 2 of last 3(67%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.530%
O 1.520%

Tyler Freeman MLB hitsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.530%
O 2.530%
O 3.510%

Tyler Freeman MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%

Tyler Freeman MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.530%
O 1.530%
O 2.510%
O 3.510%
O 4.510%

Tyler Freeman MLB hits + runs + rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%
O 1.510%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0 · hi 0 · lo 0
000

Tyler Freeman MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%
O 1.510%

Tyler Freeman MLB runs scoredseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%

Tyler Freeman MLB singlesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
O 0.550%
O 1.510%

Tyler Freeman MLB strikeouts: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 26 Colorado Rockies @ St. Louis Cardinals Batter - Stolen Bases 0.5 Under -1000 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Colorado Rockies @ St. Louis Cardinals Batter - Stolen Bases 0.5 Under -769 ✓ HIT
04 Aug 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Colorado Rockies Batter - RBIs 0.5 Under -286 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Tyler Freeman (CLE) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tyler Freeman is Under 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.4% on this pick. Their next game is Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals on Sunday 9 August at Busch Stadium, St. Louis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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