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The latest Bet Better model pick for Tyler Freeman is Under 2.5 on Batter - Hits.
On the Batter - Hits market the model assigns a model win probability of 95%, versus the book's implied 68%, for a model edge of +27.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:28PM UTC
MLB

Tyler Freeman

CLE

+27.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Under 2.5 -208 (1.48)
+27.2% Edge
Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California · Outdoor
Wed 8 Jul, 2:10AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
94.7%
Implied Probability
67.6%
Model Edge
+27.2%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits94.7%—67.6%1.06+27.2%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Tyler Freeman (CLE) Under 2.5 Hits (-208)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As we dive into the matchup between the Dodgers and Rockies, Tyler Freeman’s recent performance points toward a solid 'under' play for his hits total of 2.5. Freeman has faced some tough left-handed pitching lately, and the Rockies' starter has been particularly effective against righties. With a batting average that’s dipped to around .230 in his last several outings, he’s finding it hard to make consistent contact. Moreover, the Dodgers' lineup is stacked, meaning Freeman often finds himself lower in the batting order, limiting his opportunities. With the Rockies’ recent struggles on the road and the Dodgers’ strong home defense, it seems likely he’ll be challenged to even reach two hits. Given Freeman’s current trend and the matchup dynamics, betting on him to stay under 2.5 hits feels like a savvy approach in this Thursday showdown.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.533%
O 1.517%

Tyler Freeman MLB hitsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.533%

Tyler Freeman MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.533%
O 1.517%

Tyler Freeman MLB hits + runs + rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
Streak2

Tyler Freeman MLB strikeouts: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Jul 26 Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Hits 2.5 Under -208 ✓ HIT
08 Jul 26 Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 2.5 Under -179 ✓ HIT
08 Jul 26 Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Singles 2.5 Under -333 ✓ HIT
08 Jul 26 Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending
24 Jun 26 Boston Red Sox @ Colorado Rockies Batter - Hits — — — Pending

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About This Player

Tyler Freeman (CLE) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tyler Freeman is Under 2.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +27.2% on this pick. Their next game is Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Dodgers on Wednesday 8 July at Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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