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The latest Bet Better model pick for Trevor Williams is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On Pitcher - Strikeouts, our numbers say this bet wins about 88 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 88%, implied 78%, edge +9.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 2.50 Hlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 2.50 Hlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 2.50 SOlanded 8 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Aug 30, 5:21PM UTC
MLB

Trevor Williams

WSN

+9.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts Over 2.5 -357 (1.28) · $100→$128
+9.7% Edge
Detroit Tigers @ Washington Nationals
Nationals Park, Washington, District of Columbia · Outdoor
Tue 1 Jul, 10:45PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 935 of 1,976 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
88 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 87.8% · the book's price implies 78.1% · gap +9.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts87.8%78.1%1.14+9.7%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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Trevor Williams (WSN) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-357)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on Trevor Williams for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts market is backed by his consistent performance data. His last five games' overall average strikeouts (4.2) and home average strikeouts (6.2) are both significantly higher than the line of 2.5. This indicates a strong tendency for Williams to achieve more than 2.5 strikeouts per game. Moreover, his innings pitched, both overall (4.8) and at home (5.2), suggest that he spends ample time on the mound to achieve the required strikeouts. His current hitting streak, both overall and at home, also adds to the likelihood of him surpassing the 2.5 strikeouts line. Hence, the statistical data supports the bet for Williams to achieve over 2.5 strikeouts in the game against the Detroit Tigers.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Trevor Williams is averaging 5.8 hits, 0.6 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

5.8
Hits
0.6
HR
0.0
RBI
2.6
Runs
1.6
Walks
4.2
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: H

Trevor Williams has gone over 2.5 H in 100% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o2.5100%
o3.580%
o4.550%
o5.530%
o6.520%
o7.520%
o8.510%

Home / away and opponent splits

Trevor Williams is averaging 5.8 hits per game over his last 5 and 3.6 in home games.

5.8
Hits · Overall
3.6
Hits · Home
0.6
HR · Overall
0.4
HR · Home
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Trevor Williams (WSN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Trevor Williams is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.7% on this pick. Their next game is Detroit Tigers vs Washington Nationals on Tuesday 1 July at Nationals Park, Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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