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The latest Bet Better model pick for Trevor Williams is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On the Pitcher - Strikeouts market the model assigns a model win probability of 88%, versus the book's implied 78%, for a model edge of +9.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 3:39PM UTC
MLB

Trevor Williams

WSN

+9.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts Over 2.5 -357 (1.28) · $100→$128
+9.7% Edge
Detroit Tigers @ Washington Nationals
Nationals Park, Washington, District of Columbia · Outdoor
Tue 1 Jul, 10:45PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
87.8%
Implied Probability
78.1%
Model Edge
+9.7%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts87.8%—78.1%1.14+9.7%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games4/10

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AI Analysis

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Trevor Williams (WSN) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-357)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on Trevor Williams for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts market is backed by his consistent performance data. His last five games' overall average strikeouts (4.2) and home average strikeouts (6.2) are both significantly higher than the line of 2.5. This indicates a strong tendency for Williams to achieve more than 2.5 strikeouts per game. Moreover, his innings pitched, both overall (4.8) and at home (5.2), suggest that he spends ample time on the mound to achieve the required strikeouts. His current hitting streak, both overall and at home, also adds to the likelihood of him surpassing the 2.5 strikeouts line. Hence, the statistical data supports the bet for Williams to achieve over 2.5 strikeouts in the game against the Detroit Tigers.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Pitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
70%hit L10
L2060%
O 2.570%
O 3.540%
O 4.550%
O 5.530%
O 6.520%

Trevor Williams MLB strikeouts: cleared over 2.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted
100%hit L10
Streak17L2095%
O 2.5100%
O 3.580%
O 4.560%
O 5.520%
O 6.520%
O 7.520%
O 8.510%

Trevor Williams MLB hits allowed: cleared over 2.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
70%hit L10
Streak3L2075%
O 0.570%
O 1.540%
O 2.510%
O 3.510%

Trevor Williams MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
2.6avg earned runs · L5

Trevor Williams MLB earned runs: averaging 2.6 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
14.8avg outs · L5

Trevor Williams MLB outs: averaging 14.8 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Trevor Williams (WSN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Trevor Williams is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.7% on this pick. Their next game is Detroit Tigers vs Washington Nationals on Tuesday 1 July at Nationals Park, Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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