Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Today's bet is live / One clear pick a day / Tracked in public — wins & losses / Free to start, no card
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Trevor Williams is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On the Pitcher - Strikeouts market the model assigns a model win probability of 88%, versus the book's implied 78%, for a model edge of +9.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:04PM UTC
MLB

Trevor Williams

WSN

+9.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts Over 2.5 -357 (1.28)
+9.7% Edge
Detroit Tigers @ Washington Nationals
Nationals Park, Washington, District of Columbia · Outdoor
Tue 1 Jul, 10:45PM
OUT
Williams (elbow) struck out three and allowed three earned runs on six hits and two walks across 3.1 innings in a rehab start Sunday with High-A Wilmington.
updated Jul 20, 12:17AM UTC · 1d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
87.8%
Implied Probability
78.1%
Model Edge
+9.7%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts87.8%—78.1%1.14+9.7%

See every market's calibrated edge

Unlock the full calibrated-probability grid across every market for this player — model vs calibrated vs fair value.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
Cancel anytime

Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games6/10

See the full 20-game form curve

Unlock the complete recent-form hit-rate curve (last 3, 5, 10, 15, 20 & current streak) for this player.

Bet Better Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Trevor Williams (WSN) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-357)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on Trevor Williams for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts market is backed by his consistent performance data. His last five games' overall average strikeouts (4.2) and home average strikeouts (6.2) are both significantly higher than the line of 2.5. This indicates a strong tendency for Williams to achieve more than 2.5 strikeouts per game. Moreover, his innings pitched, both overall (4.8) and at home (5.2), suggest that he spends ample time on the mound to achieve the required strikeouts. His current hitting streak, both overall and at home, also adds to the likelihood of him surpassing the 2.5 strikeouts line. Hence, the statistical data supports the bet for Williams to achieve over 2.5 strikeouts in the game against the Detroit Tigers.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Pitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
80%hit L10
L2075%
O 2.580%
O 3.560%
O 4.530%
O 5.530%
O 6.520%

Trevor Williams MLB strikeouts: cleared over 2.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted
100%hit L10
Streak10L2095%
O 2.5100%
O 3.580%
O 4.550%
O 5.530%
O 6.520%
O 7.520%
O 8.510%

Trevor Williams MLB hits allowed: cleared over 2.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
70%hit L10
Streak3L2075%
O 0.570%
O 1.540%
O 2.510%
O 3.510%

Trevor Williams MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
2.6avg earned runs · L5

Trevor Williams MLB earned runs: averaging 2.6 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
14.8avg outs · L5

Trevor Williams MLB outs: averaging 14.8 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Trevor Williams (WSN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Trevor Williams is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.7% on this pick. Their next game is Detroit Tigers vs Washington Nationals on Tuesday 1 July at Nationals Park, Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks