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The latest Bet Better model pick for Simeon Woods Richardson is Over 1.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On the Pitcher - Hits Allowed market the model assigns a model win probability of 96%, versus the book's implied 95%, for a model edge of +1.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:16AM UTC
MLB

Simeon Woods Richardson

MIN

+1.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Over 1.5 -2000 (1.05)
+1.1% Edge
New York Yankees @ Minnesota Twins
Target Field, Minneapolis, Minnesota · Outdoor
Mon 15 Sep, 11:40PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
96.3%
Implied Probability
95.2%
Model Edge
+1.1%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Hits Allowed96.3%95.2%1.04+1.1%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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Simeon Woods Richardson (MIN) Over 1.5 Hits Allowed (-2000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Simeon Woods Richardson's recent performance data indicates a strong likelihood of him allowing over 1.5 hits in the upcoming game against the New York Yankees. Over his last five games, he has allowed an average of 6.2 hits overall and 4.6 hits at home. Furthermore, his innings pitched (IP) averages are relatively low, at 3.9 overall and 4 at home, suggesting he often allows hits early in the game. His overall current hit streak is 28, with a home hit streak of 19, showing a consistent trend of allowing hits. Therefore, despite the low model edge of 1.1%, the high implied probability of 95.2% and his recent performance data make the bet on Richardson to allow over 1.5 hits a solid choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Pitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
70%hit L10
Streak4L2075%
O 2.570%
O 3.540%
O 4.540%
O 5.520%

Simeon Woods Richardson MLB strikeouts: cleared over 2.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted
100%hit L10
Streak28L20100%
O 1.5100%
O 2.5100%
O 3.580%
O 4.580%
O 5.540%
O 6.520%
O 7.510%

Simeon Woods Richardson MLB hits allowed: cleared over 1.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
90%hit L10
L2090%
O 0.590%
O 1.550%
O 2.540%
O 3.510%

Simeon Woods Richardson MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
2.6avg earned runs · L5
L2050%

Simeon Woods Richardson MLB earned runs: cleared over 2.5 in 60% of the last 10 games; averaging 2.6 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
12avg outs · L5

Simeon Woods Richardson MLB outs: averaging 12 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Simeon Woods Richardson (MIN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Simeon Woods Richardson is Over 1.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.1% on this pick. Their next game is New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins on Monday 15 September at Target Field, Minneapolis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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