Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Today's bet is live / One clear pick a day / Tracked in public — wins & losses / Free to start, no card
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Sean Murphy is Over 0.5 on Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs.
On the Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs market the model assigns a model win probability of 75%, versus the book's implied 61%, for a model edge of +14.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:27PM UTC
MLB

Sean Murphy

ATL

+14.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs Over 0.5 -154 (1.65)
+14.3% Edge
Atlanta Braves @ Oakland Athletics
RingCentral Coliseum, Oakland, California · Outdoor
OUT
Manager Walt Weiss said Saturday that Murphy (finger) is getting close to beginning a rehab assignment, Grant McAuley of the Marietta Daily Journal reports.
updated Jul 18, 6:26PM UTC · 2d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
74.9%
Implied Probability
60.6%
Model Edge
+14.3%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs74.9%60.6%1.33+14.3%

See every market's calibrated edge

Unlock the full calibrated-probability grid across every market for this player — model vs calibrated vs fair value.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
Cancel anytime

Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

See the full 20-game form curve

Unlock the complete recent-form hit-rate curve (last 3, 5, 10, 15, 20 & current streak) for this player.

Bet Better Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Sean Murphy (ATL) Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-154)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting on Sean Murphy to exceed 0.5 in the Batter Hits Runs RBIs market is a good choice based on his recent performance. His last 5 overall averages for hits, runs, and RBIs are 0.6, 0.4, and 0.8 respectively, which are all above the line of 0.5. This shows that Murphy is consistently contributing to the Braves' offense. Even when playing away, his average hits and RBIs remain at 0.6 and 0.8, indicating little to no drop in performance. His current overall hit streak of 2 also suggests he's in good form. Although his away hit streak is currently at 0, his solid overall and away averages indicate he can easily get back on track. Thus, the statistics suggest a high probability of Murphy exceeding 0.5 in the Batter Hits Runs RBIs market.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
0.6avg hits · L5
Streak2
O 0.550%
O 1.510%

Sean Murphy MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games; averaging 0.6 hits over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
1.8avg total bases · L5
Streak2
O 1.540%
O 2.540%
O 3.540%
O 4.510%

Sean Murphy MLB total bases: averaging 1.8 total bases over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.4avg home runs · L5
Streak2

Sean Murphy MLB home runs: averaging 0.4 home runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
1.8avg H+R+RBI · L5

Sean Murphy MLB hits + runs + rbis: averaging 1.8 H+R+RBI over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.2avg singles · L5

Sean Murphy MLB singles: averaging 0.2 singles over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.4avg walks · L5
O 0.540%

Sean Murphy MLB walks: averaging 0.4 walks over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Sean Murphy (ATL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Sean Murphy is Over 0.5 on Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +14.3% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Braves vs Oakland Athletics at RingCentral Coliseum, Oakland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks