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The latest Bet Better model pick for Sean Murphy is Over 0.5 on Batter - Home Runs.
On Batter - Home Runs, our numbers say this bet wins about 17 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 17%, the price says 12%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Under 1.50 hits runs rbislanded 7 of the last 10
Under 1.50 total baseslanded 6 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 20, 3:06PM UTC
MLB

Sean Murphy

MLB

Value call

Sean Murphy has one live pick today: Batter - Home Runs Over 0.5 that pays $850 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Batter - Home Runs Over 0.5 +750 (8.50) · $100→$850
Value call
Atlanta Braves @ Houston Astros
Minute Maid Park, Houston, Texas · Indoor
Sun 20 Sep, 6:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts overs: 164 of 342 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
17 in 100
Predicted
0.2 Batter - Home Runs
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 17.5% · before adjusting for past results 13.3% · the book's price implies 11.8% · gap +5.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Home Runs13.3%17.5%11.8%5.72+1.5%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games1/4
Last 10 games1/4

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AI Analysis

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Houston Astros vs Atlanta Braves: Sean Murphy Over 0.5 Batter - Home Runs (+750)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Sean Murphy has a chance to shine tonight as the Atlanta Braves take on the Houston Astros. The Astros' home park is known for helping balls leave the yard more often, which is great news for a batter like Murphy. While he hasn't been hitting as much lately, this could be the perfect moment for him to turn it around. The Braves have had a mixed bag in their last few games, but they've still found ways to score. Plus, the Astros' starting pitcher has been allowing fewer runs than average, which makes this matchup intriguing. The risk here is that Murphy has been getting hits at only about 0.7 of his usual rate lately. Still, with the right swing, he could hit a home run and make this bet pay off.

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Pick History & Track Record

Sean Murphy's lines for Sun 20 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Batter Home Runs 0.5
+750 best over price · 3 books

Sean Murphy's batter home runs line is 0.5, best over price +750 across 3 books.

Batter Runs Scored 1.5

Sean Murphy's batter runs scored line is 1.5.

Batter RBIs 1.5
+320 best over price · 4 books

Sean Murphy's batter rbis line is 1.5, best over price +320 across 4 books.

Batter Hits 1.5
+105 best over price · 5 books

Sean Murphy's batter hits line is 1.5, best over price +105 across 5 books.

Batter Hits 0.5
+105 best over price · 5 books

Sean Murphy's batter hits line is 0.5, best over price +105 across 5 books.

Batter Doubles 0.5
+710 best over price · 4 books

Sean Murphy's batter doubles line is 0.5, best over price +710 across 4 books.

Batter RBIs 0.5
+320 best over price · 4 books

Sean Murphy's batter rbis line is 0.5, best over price +320 across 4 books.

Batter Home Runs 1.5
+750 best over price · 3 books

Sean Murphy's batter home runs line is 1.5, best over price +750 across 3 books.

Recent form (last 5 games)

Sean Murphy is averaging 0.6 hits, 0.4 home runs and 0.8 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

0.6
Hits
0.4
HR
0.8
RBI
0.4
Runs
0.4
Walks
1.2
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Sean Murphy has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 50% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.550%
o1.530%
o2.530%
o3.50%
o4.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Sean Murphy is averaging 0.6 hits per game over his last 5 and 0.6 in home games, including his recent form against CHC.

0.6
Hits · Overall
0.6
Hits · Home
0.5
Hits · vs CHC
0.4
HR · Overall
0.4
HR · Home
0.3
HR · vs CHC
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Sean Murphy is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Sean Murphy is Over 0.5 on Batter - Home Runs. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.5% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Braves vs Houston Astros on Sunday 20 September at Minute Maid Park, Houston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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