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The latest Bet Better model pick for Ryan Gusto is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs.
On the Pitcher - Earned Runs market the model assigns a model win probability of 79%, versus the book's implied 56%, for a model edge of +23.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 5, 3:46AM UTC
MLB

Ryan Gusto

MLB

+23.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Earned Runs Under 2.5 -127 (1.79)
+23.5% Edge
Miami Marlins @ Atlanta Braves
Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia · Outdoor
Tue 4 Aug, 11:15PM
Confirmed probable starter
Probable SP vs MIA @ ATL
updated Aug 4, 11:15PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
79.4%
Implied Probability
55.9%
Model Edge
+23.5%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Earned Runs79.4%—55.9%1.26+23.5%

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AI Analysis

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Ryan Gusto Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-127)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Atlanta Braves play Miami Marlins in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Ryan Gusto Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-127). That is a Earned Runs bet. It was priced at -127 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.87 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Ryan Gusto is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ryan Gusto is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +23.5% on this pick. Their next game is Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves on Tuesday 4 August at Truist Park, Atlanta. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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