Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Paul Goldschmidt is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits.
On the Batter - Hits market the model assigns a model win probability of 81%, versus the book's implied 63%, for a model edge of +18.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 12:07PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits
Under 1.5
-169 (1.59) · $100→$159
+18.3% Edge
Atlanta Braves
@
New York Yankees
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug, 5:35PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 559 of 1,032 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
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Implied Probability
62.9%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Batter - Hits | 81.2% | — | 62.9% | 1.23 | +18.3% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 3/3 |
| Last 5 games | 5/5 |
| Last 10 games | 9/10 |
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Paul Goldschmidt (STL) Under 1.5 Hits (-169)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
New York Yankees play Atlanta Braves in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Paul Goldschmidt (STL) Under 1.5 Hits (-169). That is a Hits bet. It was priced at -169 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.92 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Recent form (last 5 games)
Paul Goldschmidt is averaging 0.0 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 3 games.
Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis
Paul Goldschmidt has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 43% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.
o0.543%
o1.529%
o2.514%
o3.514%
o4.514%
o5.50%
o6.50%
Home / away and opponent splits
Paul Goldschmidt is averaging 0.0 hits per game over his last 5.
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Paul Goldschmidt is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.3% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Braves vs New York Yankees on Sunday 9 August at Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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