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The latest Bet Better model pick for Ozzie Albies is Over 1.5 on Batter - Runs Scored.
On Batter - Runs Scored, our numbers say this bet wins about 13 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 13%, the price says 7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Sep 21, 5:02AM UTC
MLB

Ozzie Albies

ATL

Ozzie Albies has one live pick today: Batter - Runs Scored Over 1.5 that pays $1,400 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Batter - Runs Scored Over 1.5 +1300 (14.00) · $100→$1,400
Atlanta Braves @ Houston Astros
Minute Maid Park, Houston, Texas · Indoor
Sun 20 Sep, 6:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts overs: 164 of 342 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
13 in 100
Predicted
0.5 Batter - Runs Scored
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 12.9% · before adjusting for past results 7.1% · the book's price implies 7.1% · gap +5.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Runs Scored7.1%12.9%7.1%7.73-0.1%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games2/10

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AI Analysis

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Houston Astros vs Atlanta Braves: Ozzie Albies Over 1.5 Batter - Runs Scored (+1300)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

For Ozzie Albies to score over 1.5 runs tonight, he needs to keep up his recent hot streak. Lately, he's been getting hits at about twice his usual rate, which is a great sign. The Astros' home field is also friendly to home runs, making it easier for him to cross home plate. However, the Braves have been inconsistent, winning just 5 of their last 10 games. Plus, the Astros' starting pitcher has been tough, allowing runs at a lower rate than the league average. Still, with Albies heating up and the park's advantages, there's a good chance he can make this happen.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Ozzie Albies is averaging 0.8 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.2 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

0.8
Hits
0.0
HR
0.2
RBI
0.4
Runs
0.4
Walks
0.4
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Ozzie Albies has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 40% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.540%
o1.520%
o2.520%
o3.50%
o4.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Ozzie Albies is averaging 0.8 hits per game over his last 5 and 0.8 in home games, including his recent form against WSN.

0.8
Hits · Overall
0.8
Hits · Home
1.0
Hits · vs WSN
0.0
HR · Overall
0.0
HR · Home
0.0
HR · vs WSN
Quick answers:How many home runs does Ozzie Albies hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Ozzie Albies (ATL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ozzie Albies is Over 1.5 on Batter - Runs Scored. The model identifies a slight edge of -0.1% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Braves vs Houston Astros on Sunday 20 September at Minute Maid Park, Houston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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