Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Today's bets are live / Top performing picks daily / Tracked in public — wins & losses
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Nick Fortes is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits.
On the Batter - Hits market the model assigns a model win probability of 72%, versus the book's implied 51%, for a model edge of +21.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 24, 7:13AM UTC
MLB

Nick Fortes

MLB

+21.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Under 0.5 -105 (1.95)
+21.2% Edge
Cleveland Guardians @ Tampa Bay Rays
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, Florida · Indoor
Fri 24 Jul, 11:10PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
72.5%
Implied Probability
51.3%
Model Edge
+21.2%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits72.5%51.3%1.38+21.2%

See every market's calibrated edge

Unlock the full calibrated-probability grid across every market for this player — model vs calibrated vs fair value.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
Cancel anytime

Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games4/10

See the full 20-game form curve

Unlock the complete recent-form hit-rate curve (last 3, 5, 10, 15, 20 & current streak) for this player.

Bet Better Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Nick Fortes (NA) Under 0.5 Hits (-105)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Rays take on the Guardians, eyes will be on Nick Fortes, but betting on him to notch even a single hit might be a stretch. The Guardians have been a tough matchup for hitters lately, especially with their stellar pitching staff that boasts a team ERA among the league's best. Fortes, while a promising talent, has struggled against right-handed pitching, and with Cleveland sending out a solid arm, he’ll likely find it difficult to make solid contact. Moreover, recent trends show that the Rays' offense has been inconsistent, often relying on power rather than consistent hitting. The odds seem to favor the under here, reflecting his recent performance dips. With Fortes managing only a handful of hits in his past few games, the under on 0.5 hits feels like a smart play, especially given the Guardians’ ability to stifle opposing bats. Expect a quiet night at the plate for him.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

1 market live
Batter - HitsUpcoming gameU 0.5 -105+21.2% edge
50%hit L10
L2060%

Nick Fortes MLB hits: cleared under 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -105 (+21.2% model edge).

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.530%
O 2.520%
O 3.520%

Nick Fortes MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%

Nick Fortes MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10

Nick Fortes MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%

Nick Fortes MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
17 Jul 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Boston Red Sox Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5 Under -141 ✗ MISS

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Nick Fortes is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nick Fortes is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.2% on this pick. Their next game is Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays on Friday 24 July at Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks