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The latest Bet Better model pick for Miguel Andujar is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On the Batter - Total Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 77%, versus the book's implied 67%, for a model edge of +9.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 6, 2:16PM UTC
MLB

Miguel Andujar

ATH

+9.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -204 (1.49)
+9.7% Edge
San Diego Padres @ Atlanta Braves
Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia · Outdoor
Mon 20 Jul, 11:15PM
OUT
The Padres placed Andujar on the 10-day injured list Monday with a fractured right wrist.
updated Jul 20, 9:30PM UTC · 16d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
76.8%
Implied Probability
67.1%
Model Edge
+9.7%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases76.8%67.1%1.30+9.7%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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Miguel Andujar (ATH) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-204)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Braves host the Padres, all eyes might be on the big bats, but let's take a closer look at Miguel Andujar. While he’s a talented player, recent trends suggest he could struggle to find success against what’s shaping up to be a dominant Braves pitching staff. Atlanta's arms have been lights out at home, allowing a mere .215 batting average against, which makes it tough for anyone to rack up extra bases, let alone someone like Andujar, who tends to be hit-or-miss lately. Facing the likes of Max Fried, who thrives on keeping hitters off balance, it’s hard to envision Andujar breaking through for more than one total base tonight. With a projected output of just under one total base, the under on 1.5 seems prudent. The odds favor a quiet night for Andujar, making this a compelling play in a matchup where runs may be hard to come by.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 4(75%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.75avg hits · L5
O 0.510%

Miguel Andujar MLB hits: averaging 0.75 hits over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
1.5avg total bases · L5

Miguel Andujar MLB total bases: averaging 1.5 total bases over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.25avg home runs · L5

Miguel Andujar MLB home runs: averaging 0.25 home runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
2.75avg H+R+RBI · L5
O 0.510%

Miguel Andujar MLB hits + runs + rbis: averaging 2.75 H+R+RBI over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.75avg RBIs · L5

Miguel Andujar MLB rbis: averaging 0.75 RBIs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%

Miguel Andujar MLB runs scoredseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.5avg singles · L5
O 0.510%

Miguel Andujar MLB singles: averaging 0.5 singles over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Jul 26 San Diego Padres @ Atlanta Braves Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -204 ✓ HIT
19 Jul 26 San Diego Padres @ Kansas City Royals Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -238 ✓ HIT
19 Jul 26 San Diego Padres @ Kansas City Royals Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -145 ✗ MISS
18 Jul 26 San Diego Padres @ Kansas City Royals Batter - Hits Pending

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About This Player

Miguel Andujar (ATH) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Miguel Andujar is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.7% on this pick. Their next game is San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves on Monday 20 July at Truist Park, Atlanta. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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