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The latest Bet Better model pick for MacKenzie Gore is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On the Pitcher - Strikeouts market the model assigns a model win probability of 99%, versus the book's implied 88%, for a model edge of +11.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:14AM UTC
MLB

MacKenzie Gore

WSN

+11.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts Over 2.5 -769 (1.13)
+11.1% Edge
Washington Nationals @ Atlanta Braves
Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia · Outdoor
Mon 22 Sep, 11:15PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
98.6%
Implied Probability
88.5%
Model Edge
+11.1%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts98.6%—88.5%1.01+11.1%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games5/5
Last 10 games10/10

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AI Analysis

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MacKenzie Gore (WSN) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-769)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on MacKenzie Gore for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts market is statistically sound. Gore's recent performance demonstrates his ability to consistently achieve high strikeout rates. His last five overall games show an average of 9 strikeouts, which is significantly higher than the bet line of 2.5. Even when playing away, his strikeout average remains high at 8.6. Furthermore, Gore's current hit streaks, both overall and away, are at 13 and 7 respectively, indicating a consistent performance. Although his averages against the Braves are slightly lower, they still surpass the bet line. Therefore, based on Gore's consistent high strikeout averages, his continuous hit streaks, and his performance against the Braves, the bet for Over 2.5 is a statistically driven choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
Streak4L2075%
O 2.560%
O 3.550%
O 4.540%
O 5.530%
O 6.520%
O 7.520%

MacKenzie Gore MLB hits allowed: cleared over 2.5 in 60% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
90%hit L10
Streak4L2090%
O 0.590%
O 1.560%
O 2.530%

MacKenzie Gore MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
2.2avg earned runs · L5

MacKenzie Gore MLB earned runs: averaging 2.2 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
80%hit L10
17.4avg outs · L5
Streak3L2060%

MacKenzie Gore MLB outs: cleared over 15.5 in 80% of the last 10 games; averaging 17.4 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

MacKenzie Gore (WSN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for MacKenzie Gore is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.1% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves on Monday 22 September at Truist Park, Atlanta. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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