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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for MacKenzie Gore is Over 4.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On Pitcher - Hits Allowed, our numbers say this bet wins about 44 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 44%, the price says 47%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 BBlanded 9 of the last 10
Over 15.50 Outslanded 8 of the last 10
Over 17.50 Outslanded 8 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 19, 10:09PM UTC
MLB

MacKenzie Gore

TEX

Value call

MacKenzie Gore has one live pick today: Pitcher - Hits Allowed Over 4.5 that pays $214 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Over 4.5 +114 (2.14) · $100→$214
Value call
Boston Red Sox @ Texas Rangers
Globe Life Field, Arlington, Texas · Indoor
Thu 17 Sep, 12:05AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 72 of 119 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
DAY-TO-DAY
Gore took a no-decision Wednesday against Boston, allowing three runs on two hits and three walks in four innings. He failed to record a strikeout.
updated Sep 17, 3:26AM UTC · 2d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
44 in 100
Predicted
5.1 Pitcher - Hits Allowed
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 44.2% · before adjusting for past results 50.2% · the book's price implies 46.7% · gap -2.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Hits Allowed50.2%44.2%46.7%2.27+3.5%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/5

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AI Analysis

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MacKenzie Gore (TEX) Over 4.5 Hits Allowed (+114)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Texas Rangers play Boston Red Sox in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is MacKenzie Gore (TEX) Over 4.5 Hits Allowed (+114). That is a Hits Allowed bet. It was priced at +114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

MacKenzie Gore is averaging 5.4 hits, 0.6 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

5.4
Hits
0.6
HR
0.0
RBI
2.2
Runs
1.6
Walks
9.0
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: SO

MacKenzie Gore has gone over 1.5 SO in 20% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o1.520%
o2.520%
o3.50%
o4.50%
o5.50%
o6.50%
o7.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

MacKenzie Gore is averaging 5.4 hits per game over his last 5 and 4.6 in away games, including his recent form against ATL.

5.4
Hits · Overall
4.6
Hits · Away
5.8
Hits · vs ATL
0.6
HR · Overall
0.6
HR · Away
0.8
HR · vs ATL
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
17 Sep 26 Boston Red Sox @ Texas Rangers Pitcher - Strikeouts 4.5 Under +114 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Texas Rangers Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under -103 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Texas Rangers Pitcher - Hits Allowed 4.5 Under -106 ✓ HIT
17 Sep 26 Boston Red Sox @ Texas Rangers Pitcher - Hits Allowed Pending
17 Sep 26 Boston Red Sox @ Texas Rangers Pitcher - Walks Pending
12 Sep 26 Texas Rangers @ Arizona Diamondbacks Pitcher - Walks Pending

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About This Player

MacKenzie Gore (TEX) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for MacKenzie Gore is Over 4.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.5% on this pick. Their next game is Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers on Thursday 17 September at Globe Life Field, Arlington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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