Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Luke Raley is Under 0.5 on Batter - RBIs.
On the Batter - RBIs market the model assigns a model win probability of 85%, versus the book's implied 74%, for a model edge of +11.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 3:37PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Batter - RBIs
Under 0.5
-286 (1.35) · $100→$135
+11.0% Edge
Minnesota Twins
@
Seattle Mariners
T-Mobile Park, Seattle, Washington · Indoor
Sat 1 Aug, 2:10AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
OUT
Mariners general manager Justin Hollander said Tuesday that Raley is expected to miss the rest of the season after sustaining a left forearm strain, Adam Jude of The Seattle Times reports.
updated Aug 5, 4:36PM UTC · 4d old
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Implied Probability
74.1%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Batter - RBIs | 85.0% | — | 74.1% | 1.18 | +11.0% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/3 |
| Last 5 games | 1/5 |
| Last 10 games | 1/10 |
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Luke Raley (TBR) Under 0.5 RBIs (-286)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Seattle Mariners play Minnesota Twins in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Luke Raley (TBR) Under 0.5 RBIs (-286). That is a RBIs bet. It was priced at -286 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
Markets & formBatter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted Luke Raley MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 67% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted Luke Raley MLB total bases: cleared over 1.5 in 67% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted Luke Raley MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 67% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted Luke Raley MLB singles: cleared over 0.5 in 67% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Batter - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted Luke Raley MLB strikeouts: cleared over 0.5 in 67% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Luke Raley (TBR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Luke Raley is Under 0.5 on Batter - RBIs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.0% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners on Saturday 1 August at T-Mobile Park, Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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