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The latest Bet Better model pick for Luke Raley is Under 0.5 on Batter - Runs Scored.
On the Batter - Runs Scored market the model assigns a model win probability of 77%, versus the book's implied 75%, for a model edge of +1.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:14AM UTC
MLB

Luke Raley

MLB

+1.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Runs Scored Under 0.5 -303 (1.33)
+1.5% Edge
San Francisco Giants @ Seattle Mariners
T-Mobile Park, Seattle, Washington · Indoor
Sun 19 Jul, 12:08AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
76.7%
Implied Probability
75.2%
Model Edge
+1.5%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Runs Scored76.7%—75.2%1.30+1.5%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Luke Raley (NA) Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-303)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Mariners host the Giants, all eyes will be on the plate, particularly on Luke Raley’s ability to cross home. However, considering recent trends, backing the "Under 0.5" runs for Raley seems wise. The Mariners' pitching staff has been firing on all cylinders, boasting a 3.25 ERA over the past month, making life tough for opposing hitters. The Giants' bats have also been relatively quiet, struggling to find consistency against right-handed pitchers lately. Raley himself has been a bit of a mixed bag, often caught in tough matchups. With the Mariners’ formidable bullpen poised to lock down games, Raley might find it difficult to convert opportunities into runs. Plus, with the implied probability hovering around 75.2%, the odds favor the under here. In the tight confines of T-Mobile Park, expect Raley to be stymied, making the "Under" a compelling play in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.533%

Luke Raley MLB hitsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.533%

Luke Raley MLB hits + runs + rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.533%

Luke Raley MLB singlesseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Jul 26 San Francisco Giants @ Seattle Mariners Batter - Runs Scored 0.5 Under -303 ✓ HIT
19 Jul 26 San Francisco Giants @ Seattle Mariners Batter - Walks 0.5 Under -417 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Luke Raley is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Luke Raley is Under 0.5 on Batter - Runs Scored. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.5% on this pick. Their next game is San Francisco Giants vs Seattle Mariners on Sunday 19 July at T-Mobile Park, Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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