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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Luis Lara is Under 0.5 on Batter - RBIs.
On Batter - RBIs, our numbers say this bet wins about 73 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 73%, the price says 72%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 hits runs rbislanded 8 of the last 10
Over 0.50 Hlanded 7 of the last 10
Over 1.50 Hlanded 6 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 18, 11:01AM UTC
MLB

Luis Lara

MLB

Value call

Luis Lara has one live pick today: Batter - RBIs Under 0.5 that pays $139 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Batter - RBIs Under 0.5 -256 (1.39) · $100→$139
Value call
Milwaukee Brewers @ Baltimore Orioles
Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland · Outdoor
Fri 18 Sep, 11:05PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts overs: 107 of 225 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
73 in 100
Predicted
0.2 Batter - RBIs
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 72.8% · the book's price implies 71.9% · gap +0.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - RBIs72.8%71.9%1.37+0.9%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games4/10

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AI Analysis

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Luis Lara Under 0.5 RBIs (-256)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Baltimore Orioles play Milwaukee Brewers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Luis Lara Under 0.5 RBIs (-256). That is a RBIs bet. It was priced at -256 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.91 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 8 of last 10(80%)
Overall Hit Rate (24 picks) 70.8% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Luis Lara's lines for Fri 18 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Batter RBIs 0.5
+200 best over price · 4 booksHow many home runs does Luis Lara hit?

Luis Lara's batter rbis line is 0.5, best over price +200 across 4 books.

Batter Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5

Luis Lara's batter hits + runs + rbis line is 1.5.

Batter Hits 0.5
-222 best over price · 4 booksHow many home runs does Luis Lara hit?

Luis Lara's batter hits line is 0.5, best over price -222 across 4 books.

Batter Total Bases 1.5
+150 best over price · 6 booksHow many home runs does Luis Lara hit?

Luis Lara's batter total bases line is 1.5, best over price +150 across 6 books.

Batter Singles 0.5
-125 best over price · 3 booksHow many home runs does Luis Lara hit?

Luis Lara's batter singles line is 0.5, best over price -125 across 3 books.

Batter Runs Scored 0.5

Luis Lara's batter runs scored line is 0.5.

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Luis Lara has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 80% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.580%
o1.560%
o2.550%
o3.540%
o4.540%
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
17 Sep 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -256 ✓ HIT
17 Sep 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -196 ✓ HIT
17 Sep 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates Batter - Singles 0.5 Under -105 ✓ HIT
17 Sep 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates Batter - Hits Pending
17 Sep 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates Batter - Stolen Bases Pending
17 Sep 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates Batter - Runs Scored Pending

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About This Player

Luis Lara is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 70.8% on tracked Luis Lara picks. The latest model pick for Luis Lara is Under 0.5 on Batter - RBIs. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.9% on this pick. Their next game is Milwaukee Brewers vs Baltimore Orioles on Friday 18 September at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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