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The latest Bet Better model pick for Ke'Bryan Hayes is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits.
On the Batter - Hits market the model assigns a model win probability of 92%, versus the book's implied 83%, for a model edge of +9.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 4:44PM UTC
MLB

Ke'Bryan Hayes

PIT

+9.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Under 1.5 -500 (1.20)
+9.1% Edge
Cincinnati Reds @ Seattle Mariners
T-Mobile Park, Seattle, Washington · Indoor
Wed 22 Jul, 1:40AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
92.4%
Implied Probability
83.3%
Model Edge
+9.1%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits92.4%—83.3%1.08+9.1%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) Under 1.5 Hits (-500)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Seattle Mariners host the Cincinnati Reds, all eyes will be on Ke'Bryan Hayes and whether he can find his rhythm at the plate. While Hayes has shown flashes of brilliance this season, his recent form is a bit concerning. He’s struggled against left-handed pitchers, and with the Mariners set to send out a strong southpaw, this matchup could be tricky. Furthermore, the Mariners' pitching staff has been stingy lately, holding opponents to a .220 batting average over the last month. They’ve excelled at limiting hits, which makes the Under on Hayes at 1.5 particularly appealing. With the Reds in a slump, scoring runs has been a challenge, and Hayes may find himself facing tough at-bats against a pitcher who's been lights out. Given the trends, betting on Hayes to stay under that hit total feels like a savvy play in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

2 markets live
Batter - HitsUpcoming gameU 1.5 -500+9.1% edge
75%hit L10
Streak2
U 0.550%
U 1.575%

Ke'Bryan Hayes MLB hits: cleared under 1.5 in 75% of the last 10 games. Current line U 1.5 at -500 (+9.1% model edge).

Batter - SinglesUpcoming gameU 1.5 -769+6.4% edge
100%hit L10
Streak8

Ke'Bryan Hayes MLB singles: cleared under 1.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Current line U 1.5 at -769 (+6.4% model edge).

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.538%
O 2.525%
O 3.513%
O 4.513%

Ke'Bryan Hayes MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.513%

Ke'Bryan Hayes MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
63%hit L10
O 0.563%
O 1.538%
O 2.538%
O 3.538%
O 4.513%

Ke'Bryan Hayes MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 63% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.538%
O 1.513%

Ke'Bryan Hayes MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
O 0.550%
O 1.513%

Ke'Bryan Hayes MLB runs scored: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ke'Bryan Hayes is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.1% on this pick. Their next game is Cincinnati Reds vs Seattle Mariners on Wednesday 22 July at T-Mobile Park, Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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