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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jose Tena is Under 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases.
On the Batter - Stolen Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 93%, versus the book's implied 92%, for a model edge of +1.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 3:39PM UTC
MLB

Jose Tena

WSN

+1.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Stolen Bases Under 0.5 -1111 (1.09) · $100→$109
+1.6% Edge
Miami Marlins @ Washington Nationals
Nationals Park, Washington, District of Columbia · Outdoor
Sun 15 Jun, 5:35PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
93.3%
Implied Probability
91.7%
Model Edge
+1.6%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Stolen Bases93.3%—91.7%1.07+1.6%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games6/10

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AI Analysis

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Jose Tena (WSN) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1111)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Jose Tena for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is backed by his recent performance data. Over the last five games, Tena's overall and home stolen base averages are zero, indicating he has not been successful in stealing bases recently. Furthermore, his average stolen bases against the Marlins, the opposing team, is only 0.4. This suggests that Tena has had difficulty stealing bases specifically against this team. Additionally, the average number of times he's been caught stealing (Cs) is zero, both overall and at home, showing that he hasn't attempted to steal bases. Despite his impressive hit streak, his lack of recent stolen base success makes the Under 0.5 bet a statistically sound choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
1avg hits · L5
L2050%
O 0.540%
O 1.520%
O 2.510%

Jose Tena MLB hits: averaging 1 hits over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
1.8avg total bases · L5
O 1.520%
O 2.510%
O 3.510%
O 4.510%

Jose Tena MLB total bases: averaging 1.8 total bases over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
2.2avg H+R+RBI · L5

Jose Tena MLB hits + runs + rbis: averaging 2.2 H+R+RBI over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.4avg singles · L5
L2050%

Jose Tena MLB singles: averaging 0.4 singles over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - DoublesSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.4avg doubles · L5

Jose Tena MLB doubles: averaging 0.4 doubles over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jose Tena (WSN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jose Tena is Under 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.6% on this pick. Their next game is Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals on Sunday 15 June at Nationals Park, Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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