Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jake Irvin is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On the Pitcher - Walks market the model assigns a model win probability of 75%, versus the book's implied 61%, for a model edge of +14.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 3:38PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Walks
Under 1.5
-154 (1.65) · $100→$165
+14.2% Edge
Washington Nationals
@
Philadelphia Phillies
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Wed 5 Aug, 10:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Implied Probability
60.6%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Walks | 74.8% | — | 60.6% | 1.34 | +14.2% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/3 |
| Last 5 games | 2/5 |
| Last 10 games | 3/10 |
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Jake Irvin Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-154)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Philadelphia Phillies play Washington Nationals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Jake Irvin Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-154). That is a Walks Allowed bet. It was priced at -154 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.49 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
Markets & formPitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 2.590%
O 3.560%
O 4.550%
O 5.530%
O 6.520%
Jake Irvin MLB strikeouts: cleared over 2.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted O 2.590%
O 3.580%
O 4.550%
O 5.540%
O 6.540%
O 7.520%
Jake Irvin MLB hits allowed: cleared over 2.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted O 0.590%
O 1.540%
O 2.540%
O 3.510%
Jake Irvin MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted Jake Irvin MLB earned runs: averaging 2.4 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted 50%hit L10
17.6avg outs · L5
Streak3L2060%
Jake Irvin MLB outs: cleared over 15.5 in 50% of the last 10 games; averaging 17.6 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.
Jake Irvin is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jake Irvin is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +14.2% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies on Wednesday 5 August at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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