Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jacob deGrom is Over 6.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On Pitcher - Strikeouts, our numbers say this bet wins about 40 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 40%, the price says 37%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 1.50 Hlanded 8 of the last 10
Over 2.50 Hlanded 7 of the last 10
Under 9.50 SOlanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 20, 1:23PM UTC
MLB

Jacob deGrom

TEX

Value call

Jacob deGrom has one live pick today: Pitcher - Strikeouts Over 6.5 that pays $267 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts Over 6.5 +167 (2.67) · $100→$267
Value call
Toronto Blue Jays @ Texas Rangers
Globe Life Field, Arlington, Texas · Indoor
Sun 20 Sep, 6:35PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts overs: 164 of 342 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
40 in 100
Predicted
6.1 Pitcher - Strikeouts
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 40.0% · before adjusting for past results 41.4% · the book's price implies 37.5% · gap +2.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts41.4%40.0%37.5%2.50+4.0%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games1/10

See his full recent form

Unlock how often this player has landed over his last 3, 5, 10, 15 and 20 games — plus his current streak.

Bet Better Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Jacob deGrom (TEX) Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+167)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Texas Rangers play Toronto Blue Jays in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Jacob deGrom (TEX) Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+167). That is a Strikeouts bet. It was priced at +167 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $26.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Jacob deGrom's lines for Sun 20 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Pitcher Strikeouts 6.5

Jacob deGrom's pitcher strikeouts line is 6.5.

Pitcher Strikeouts 5.5

Jacob deGrom's pitcher strikeouts line is 5.5.

Pitcher Hits Allowed 4.5
-112 best over price · 8 books

Jacob deGrom's pitcher hits allowed line is 4.5, best over price -112 across 8 books.

Pitcher Strikeouts 9.5

Jacob deGrom's pitcher strikeouts line is 9.5.

Pitcher Strikeouts 8.5

Jacob deGrom's pitcher strikeouts line is 8.5.

Pitcher Strikeouts 7.5

Jacob deGrom's pitcher strikeouts line is 7.5.

Pitcher Strikeouts 4.5

Jacob deGrom's pitcher strikeouts line is 4.5.

Pitcher Outs 17.5
-141 best over price · 13 books

Jacob deGrom's pitcher outs line is 17.5, best over price -141 across 13 books.

Recent form (last 5 games)

Jacob deGrom is averaging 4.0 hits, 1.0 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

4.0
Hits
1.0
HR
0.0
RBI
1.8
Runs
1.4
Walks
5.0
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Jacob deGrom has gone over 2.5 SO in 0% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o2.50%
o3.50%
o4.50%
o5.50%
o6.50%
o7.50%
o8.50%
o9.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Jacob deGrom is averaging 4.0 hits per game over his last 5 and 3.2 in away games.

4.0
Hits · Overall
3.2
Hits · Away
1.0
HR · Overall
1.0
HR · Away
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Sep 26 Athletics @ Texas Rangers Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under -127 ✓ HIT
01 Sep 26 Athletics @ Texas Rangers Pitcher - Hits Allowed 4.5 Under -164 ✓ HIT
01 Sep 26 Athletics @ Texas Rangers Pitcher - Earned Runs 1.5 Under -123 ✓ HIT
25 Aug 26 Texas Rangers @ Chicago White Sox Pitcher - Hits Allowed Pending
25 Aug 26 Texas Rangers @ Chicago White Sox Pitcher - Earned Runs Pending
21 Aug 26 Washington Nationals @ Texas Rangers Pitcher - Hits Allowed Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Jacob deGrom (TEX) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jacob deGrom is Over 6.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.0% on this pick. Their next game is Toronto Blue Jays vs Texas Rangers on Sunday 20 September at Globe Life Field, Arlington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.