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Jacob deGrom

TEX

Value call

Jacob deGrom has one live pick today: over 15.5 outs recorded that pays $199 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
51 in 100
Predicted
16.0 outs recorded
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 50.6% · before adjusting for past results 53.1% · the book's price implies 50.3% · gap +0.3%.

Latest Model PickFree
Texas Rangers @ Minnesota Twins
Target Field, Minneapolis, Minnesota · Outdoor
Fri 25 Sep, 8:11 PM ET
Jacob deGrom
over 15.5 outs recorded
Pitcher - Outs Over 15.5 -101 (1.99) · $100→$199
Value call
LEANWins about 51 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$19.90 Odds-101
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jacob deGrom is Over 15.5 on Pitcher - Outs.
On Pitcher - Outs, our numbers say this bet wins about 51 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 51%, the price says 50%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 12:48AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Outs53.1%50.6%50.3%2.02+2.9%

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AI Analysis

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Jacob deGrom (TEX) Over 15.5 Outs Recorded (-101)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Minnesota Twins play Texas Rangers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Jacob deGrom (TEX) Over 15.5 Outs Recorded (-101). That is a Outs Recorded bet. It was priced at -101 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
25 Sep 26 Texas Rangers @ Minnesota Twins Pitcher - Strikeouts 6.5 Under -111 ✓ HIT
20 Sep 26 Toronto Blue Jays @ Texas Rangers Pitcher - Outs 17.5 Under +112 ✓ HIT
31 Aug 26 Athletics @ Texas Rangers Pitcher - Earned Runs 1.5 Under -123 ✓ HIT
25 Sep 26 Texas Rangers @ Minnesota Twins Pitcher - Outs — — — Pending
25 Sep 26 Texas Rangers @ Minnesota Twins Pitcher - Earned Runs — — — Pending
25 Sep 26 Texas Rangers @ Minnesota Twins Pitcher - Hits Allowed — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jacob deGrom (TEX) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jacob deGrom is Over 15.5 on Pitcher - Outs. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.9% on this pick. Their next game is Texas Rangers vs Minnesota Twins on Friday 25 September at Target Field, Minneapolis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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