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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Edwin Arroyo is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On the Batter - Total Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 92%, versus the book's implied 62%, for a model edge of +29.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 17, 7:54AM UTC
MLB

Edwin Arroyo

MLB

+29.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -161 (1.62)
+29.9% Edge
Cincinnati Reds @ Colorado Rockies
Coors Field, Denver, Colorado · Outdoor
Sat 18 Jul, 12:40AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
91.7%
Implied Probability
61.7%
Model Edge
+29.9%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases91.7%61.7%1.09+29.9%

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AI Analysis

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Edwin Arroyo (NA) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-161)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Rockies host the Reds on July 18, all eyes should be on Edwin Arroyo when considering his total bases line. While the young infielder has shown flashes of potential, he’s been caught in a slump recently, with a mere .210 batting average over the last two weeks. Going against Rockies' starter Kyle Freeland, who has been surprisingly effective at home, Arroyo could find the going tough. Freeland's ability to keep the ball in the park and limit hard contact will play a significant role. Additionally, Arroyo's struggles against left-handed pitching—coupled with the Rockies' improved defense—suggest that he might not find the gaps he needs to rack up those bases. With these factors at play, the under on Arroyo's total bases is not just a cautious bet; it feels like the right call given the current trends and matchups.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

1 market live
Batter - Total BasesUpcoming gameU 1.5 -161+29.9% edge

Edwin Arroyo MLB total bases. Current line U 1.5 at -161 (+29.9% model edge).

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Edwin Arroyo is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Edwin Arroyo is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +29.9% on this pick. Their next game is Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies on Saturday 18 July at Coors Field, Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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