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The latest Bet Better model pick for Eduardo Rodriguez is Under 5.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On the Pitcher - Hits Allowed market the model assigns a model win probability of 68%, versus the book's implied 56%, for a model edge of +12.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:15AM UTC
MLB

Eduardo Rodriguez

ARI

+12.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Under 5.5 -125 (1.80)
+12.2% Edge
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Oakland Athletics
RingCentral Coliseum, Oakland, California · Outdoor
Sun 3 Aug, 8:05PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
67.7%
Implied Probability
55.6%
Model Edge
+12.2%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Hits Allowed67.7%—55.6%1.48+12.2%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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Eduardo Rodriguez (ARI) Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-125)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Eduardo Rodriguez has a strong track record of limiting hits, with an average of 5.6 hits allowed over his last five games overall and 5.5 against the Oakland Athletics specifically. His innings pitched (IP) and outs averages also support this, with a consistent performance of around 5 IP and 16 outs. His away performance is even more impressive, with a lower average of 5 hits allowed and a higher IP average of 7, indicating he's more effective on the road. His current hit streaks, both overall and away, are at zero, suggesting he's not currently in a slump. Therefore, betting on Rodriguez to allow under 5.5 hits is a statistically solid choice, as the data indicates he consistently performs at this level, especially when playing away.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Pitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
L2060%
O 2.550%
O 3.540%
O 4.520%
O 5.520%

Eduardo Rodriguez MLB strikeouts: cleared over 2.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted
100%hit L10
Streak33L20100%
O 2.5100%
O 3.590%
O 4.580%
O 5.550%
O 6.540%
O 7.510%
O 8.510%

Eduardo Rodriguez MLB hits allowed: cleared over 2.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
90%hit L10
L2095%
O 0.590%
O 1.570%
O 2.530%
O 3.520%

Eduardo Rodriguez MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
2avg earned runs · L5
L2055%

Eduardo Rodriguez MLB earned runs: cleared over 2.5 in 50% of the last 10 games; averaging 2 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
16avg outs · L5
O 16.520%
O 17.520%

Eduardo Rodriguez MLB outs: averaging 16 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Eduardo Rodriguez (ARI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Eduardo Rodriguez is Under 5.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.2% on this pick. Their next game is Arizona Diamondbacks vs Oakland Athletics on Sunday 3 August at RingCentral Coliseum, Oakland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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