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MLB

Miguel Vargas

CHW

+14.5% Edge
Latest Pick
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs Under 2.5 -130 (1.77)
+14.5% Edge
Chicago White Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg
Model Probability
71.0%
Implied Probability
56.5%
Model Edge
+14.5%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Miguel Vargas (CHW) Under 2.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-130)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Miguel Vargas for Under 2.5 in the Batter Hits Runs RBIs market is a good choice based on his recent performance data. In his last five games overall, Vargas averaged only 0.4 hits, 0.2 runs, and 0 RBIs. His performance doesn't improve significantly when focusing on away games, with averages of 0.2 hits, 0.2 runs, and 0 RBIs. Even when playing against the Tampa Bay Rays, his averages don't exceed the betting line, with 0.3 hits, 1 run, and 0.7 RBIs. Despite his current hit streaks, the sum of his averages in hits, runs, and RBIs doesn't reach 2.5 in any of the scenarios. Therefore, betting under 2.5 seems statistically reasonable based on Vargas's recent performance.

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