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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Carson Williams is Under 0.5 on Batter - Walks.
On Batter - Walks, our numbers say this bet wins about 74 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 74%, implied 90%, edge +1.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 10:18PM UTC
MLB

Carson Williams

MLB

+1.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Walks Under 0.5 -909 (1.11) · $100→$111
+1.1% Edge
Tampa Bay Rays @ Athletics
Wed 12 Aug, 1:40AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 935 of 1,976 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
91 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 91.2% · the book's price implies 90.1% · gap +1.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Walks91.2%74.1%90.1%1.28+1.1%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Carson Williams Under 0.5 Walks (-909)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Athletics prepare to host the Tampa Bay Rays on August 12, all eyes should be on Carson Williams and his ability to draw walks. With an implied probability hovering around 90%, the smart money lands on the "Under 0.5" walks for Williams. His recent plate appearances have shown a marked decline in walk frequency, especially against right-handed pitching, where he’s been swinging aggressively. The A's ace, who frequents the mound that night, boasts a stellar strikeout rate, often keeping batters off balance with his electric stuff. Combine that with Tampa’s tendency to put balls in play rather than wait for walks, and you see a clear path to an underplay. Williams will likely find himself chasing pitches rather than taking free passes, making the under an enticing prospect as the A’s look to stifle the Rays' offense on their home turf.

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Pick History & Track Record

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Carson Williams has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 30% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.530%
o1.530%
o2.520%
o3.510%
o4.510%
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Aug 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Athletics Batter - Walks 0.5 Under -909 ✓ HIT
11 Aug 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Athletics Batter - Doubles 0.5 Under -588 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Carson Williams is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Carson Williams is Under 0.5 on Batter - Walks. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.1% on this pick. Their next game is Tampa Bay Rays vs Athletics on Wednesday 12 August. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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