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Carson Williams

MLB

Value call

Carson Williams has one live pick today: under 0.5 walks that pays $111 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
74 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 74.1% · before adjusting for past results 91.2% · the book's price implies 90.1% · gap -16.0%.

Latest Model PickFree
Tampa Bay Rays @ Athletics
Tue 11 Aug, 9:40 PM ET
Carson Williams
under 0.5 walks
Batter - Walks Under 0.5 -909 (1.11) · $100→$111
Value call
HIGHWins about 74 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$11.10 Odds-909
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Carson Williams is Under 0.5 on Batter - Walks.
On Batter - Walks, our numbers say this bet wins about 74 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 74%, the price says 90%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 12:32PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 145 of 250 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Walks91.2%74.1%90.1%1.28+1.1%

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AI Analysis

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Carson Williams Under 0.5 Walks (-909)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Athletics prepare to host the Tampa Bay Rays on August 12, all eyes should be on Carson Williams and his ability to draw walks. With an implied probability hovering around 90%, the smart money lands on the "Under 0.5" walks for Williams. His recent plate appearances have shown a marked decline in walk frequency, especially against right-handed pitching, where he’s been swinging aggressively. The A's ace, who frequents the mound that night, boasts a stellar strikeout rate, often keeping batters off balance with his electric stuff. Combine that with Tampa’s tendency to put balls in play rather than wait for walks, and you see a clear path to an underplay. Williams will likely find himself chasing pitches rather than taking free passes, making the under an enticing prospect as the A’s look to stifle the Rays' offense on their home turf.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
10 Aug 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Athletics Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5 Under -133 ✓ HIT
10 Aug 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Athletics Batter - Singles 0.5 Under -167 ✓ HIT
10 Aug 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Athletics Batter - Walks 0.5 Under -244 ✓ HIT
10 Aug 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Athletics Batter - Runs Scored — — — Pending
10 Aug 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Athletics Batter - RBIs — — — Pending
10 Aug 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Athletics Batter - Doubles — — — Pending

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About This Player

Carson Williams is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Carson Williams is Under 0.5 on Batter - Walks. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.1% on this pick. Their next game is Tampa Bay Rays vs Athletics on Tuesday 11 August. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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