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The latest Bet Better model pick for Antonio Senzatela is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On the Pitcher - Hits Allowed market the model assigns a model win probability of 98%, versus the book's implied 96%, for a model edge of +2.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:06PM UTC
MLB

Antonio Senzatela

COL

+2.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Over 2.5 -2500 (1.04)
+2.1% Edge
Colorado Rockies @ Pittsburgh Pirates
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Fri 22 Aug, 10:40PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
98.3%
Implied Probability
96.2%
Model Edge
+2.1%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Hits Allowed98.3%—96.2%1.02+2.1%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games4/10

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AI Analysis

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Antonio Senzatela (COL) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-2500)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Antonio Senzatela for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market is a solid choice due to his recent performance statistics. His overall average hits allowed in the last five games is 8.4, which is well above the line of 2.5. Even when playing away, his hits allowed average is 7.4, still significantly higher than the line. Furthermore, his current overall and away hit streaks are 22 and 14 respectively, suggesting a consistent pattern of allowing more than 2.5 hits. Although his average hits allowed against the Pirates and in away games are lower at 4, it still exceeds the line. Therefore, based on Senzatela's recent performances and his consistent hit streaks, betting over 2.5 hits allowed is statistically justified.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Pitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 2.540%

Antonio Senzatela MLB strikeoutsseason and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted
100%hit L10
Streak22L20100%
O 2.5100%
O 3.590%
O 4.570%
O 5.560%
O 6.540%
O 7.540%
O 8.530%

Antonio Senzatela MLB hits allowed: cleared over 2.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
90%hit L10
Streak3L2085%
O 0.590%
O 1.540%
O 2.510%
O 3.510%

Antonio Senzatela MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
2.6avg earned runs · L5

Antonio Senzatela MLB earned runs: averaging 2.6 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
14.6avg outs · L5
L2060%

Antonio Senzatela MLB outs: averaging 14.6 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Antonio Senzatela (COL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Antonio Senzatela is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.1% on this pick. Their next game is Colorado Rockies vs Pittsburgh Pirates on Friday 22 August at PNC Park, Pittsburgh. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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