Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Today's bets are live / Top performing picks daily / Tracked in public — wins & losses
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Antonio Senzatela is Over 3.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On the Pitcher - Hits Allowed market the model assigns a model win probability of 92%, versus the book's implied 88%, for a model edge of +4.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 3:42PM UTC
MLB

Antonio Senzatela

COL

+4.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Over 3.5 -714 (1.14) · $100→$114
+4.6% Edge
Colorado Rockies @ Pittsburgh Pirates
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Fri 22 Aug, 10:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
92.3%
Implied Probability
87.7%
Model Edge
+4.6%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Hits Allowed92.3%—87.7%1.08+4.6%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games3/10

See the full 20-game form curve

Unlock the complete recent-form hit-rate curve (last 3, 5, 10, 15, 20 & current streak) for this player.

Bet Better Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Antonio Senzatela (COL) Over 3.5 Hits Allowed (-714)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Antonio Senzatela's recent performance data indicates a strong likelihood for the over 3.5 hits allowed bet. Over his last five games, Senzatela has averaged 8.4 hits allowed overall and 7.4 while playing away. This significantly surpasses the bet line of 3.5. Additionally, his innings pitched (IP) averages of 4.7 overall and 4.1 away indicate he often stays in the game long enough to allow more hits. His overall current hit streak is at 9, and his away hit streak is at 5, suggesting a consistent pattern of allowing hits. Although his performance against the Pirates is slightly better, averaging 4 hits allowed, it still exceeds the bet line. These statistics collectively indicate a high probability of Senzatela allowing over 3.5 hits in the upcoming game.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Pitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 2.540%
O 3.520%
O 4.510%

Antonio Senzatela MLB strikeoutsseason and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted
100%hit L10
Streak14L20100%
O 2.5100%
O 3.590%
O 4.580%
O 5.560%
O 6.540%
O 7.540%
O 8.530%

Antonio Senzatela MLB hits allowed: cleared over 2.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
90%hit L10
Streak3L2085%
O 0.590%
O 1.530%
O 2.510%

Antonio Senzatela MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
2.6avg earned runs · L5

Antonio Senzatela MLB earned runs: averaging 2.6 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
14.6avg outs · L5
L2060%

Antonio Senzatela MLB outs: averaging 14.6 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Antonio Senzatela (COL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Antonio Senzatela is Over 3.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.6% on this pick. Their next game is Colorado Rockies vs Pittsburgh Pirates on Friday 22 August at PNC Park, Pittsburgh. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.