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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Andrew Vaughn is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits.
On the Batter - Hits market the model assigns a model win probability of 71%, versus the book's implied 45%, for a model edge of +26.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 7:00PM UTC
MLB

Andrew Vaughn

MLB

+26.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Under 0.5 +122 (2.22) · $100→$222
+26.0% Edge
Milwaukee Brewers @ San Diego Padres
Petco Park, San Diego, California · Outdoor
Tue 11 Aug, 1:40AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
71.1%
Implied Probability
45.0%
Model Edge
+26.0%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits71.1%45.0%1.41+26.0%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games2/10

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AI Analysis

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Andrew Vaughn Under 0.5 Hits (+122)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

San Diego Padres play Milwaukee Brewers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Andrew Vaughn Under 0.5 Hits (+122). That is a Hits bet. It was priced at +122 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $22.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

6 markets live
Batter - HitsUpcoming gameU 0.5 +122
75%hit L10

Andrew Vaughn MLB hits: cleared under 0.5 in 75% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at +122.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsUpcoming gameU 1.5 -172
Game log vs U 1.50 / 3 hit
332

Andrew Vaughn MLB hits + runs + rbis. Current line U 1.5 at -172.

Batter - RBIsUpcoming gameU 0.5 -357
75%hit L10
Game log vs U 0.51 / 5 hit
12110

Andrew Vaughn MLB rbis: cleared under 0.5 in 75% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -357.

Batter - Runs ScoredUpcoming gameU 0.5 -250
75%hit L10
Game log vs U 0.53 / 5 hit
10010

Andrew Vaughn MLB runs scored: cleared under 0.5 in 75% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -250.

Batter - SinglesUpcoming gameU 0.5 -164
75%hit L10
Game log vs U 0.52 / 5 hit
10110

Andrew Vaughn MLB singles: cleared under 0.5 in 75% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -164.

Batter - DoublesUpcoming gameU 0.5 -833
100%hit L10
Streak4
Game log vs U 0.54 / 4 hit
0000

Andrew Vaughn MLB doubles: cleared under 0.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -833.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 26 Minnesota Twins @ Milwaukee Brewers Batter - Doubles 0.5 Under -769 ✗ MISS
09 Aug 26 Minnesota Twins @ Milwaukee Brewers Batter - RBIs 0.5 Under -345 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Andrew Vaughn is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Andrew Vaughn is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +26.0% on this pick. Their next game is Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres on Tuesday 11 August at Petco Park, San Diego. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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