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The latest Bet Better model pick for Andrew Vaughn is Under 1.5 on Batter - Walks.
On the Batter - Walks market the model assigns a model win probability of 97%, versus the book's implied 93%, for a model edge of +4.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:16PM UTC
MLB

Andrew Vaughn

CHW

+4.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Walks Under 1.5 -1250 (1.08)
+4.5% Edge
Milwaukee Brewers @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Chase Field, Phoenix, Arizona · Indoor
Sun 5 Jul, 8:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
97.1%
Implied Probability
92.6%
Model Edge
+4.5%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Walks97.1%—92.6%1.03+4.5%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Andrew Vaughn (CHW) Under 1.5 Walks (-1250)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Diamondbacks host the Brewers this Sunday, all eyes will be on Andrew Vaughn’s walks. While he’s certainly a talented hitter, recent trends suggest he won’t be drawing many free passes today. Vaughn has struggled against right-handed pitching, and with Brewers ace Corbin Burnes on the mound, he faces a tough challenge. Burnes is known for his command, boasting a strikeout-to-walk ratio that’s among the best in the league. Moreover, Vaughn’s recent performance has seen him swing aggressively, resulting in fewer walks. With the Diamondbacks battling for a playoff spot, they’ll need Vaughn to be more of a contact hitter than a patient one in this crucial matchup. The combination of Burnes’ elite control and Vaughn’s recent approach points towards a day where he likely remains under that 1.5 walks threshold. It’s a compelling case for the ‘Under’ here.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
L2060%
O 0.560%
O 1.520%

Andrew Vaughn MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.540%
O 2.520%
O 3.520%
O 4.520%

Andrew Vaughn MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%

Andrew Vaughn MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.530%

Andrew Vaughn MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10

Andrew Vaughn MLB singles: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Jul 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Arizona Diamondbacks Batter - Walks 1.5 Under -1250 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Andrew Vaughn (CHW) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Andrew Vaughn is Under 1.5 on Batter - Walks. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.5% on this pick. Their next game is Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks on Sunday 5 July at Chase Field, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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