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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Andrew Abbott is Under 5.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On the Pitcher - Hits Allowed market the model assigns a model win probability of 85%, versus the book's implied 60%, for a model edge of +25.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 5:15PM UTC
MLB

Andrew Abbott

MLB

+25.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Under 5.5 -147 (1.68) · $100→$168
+25.1% Edge
Athletics @ Cincinnati Reds
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, Ohio · Outdoor
Thu 6 Aug, 4:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
84.6%
Implied Probability
59.5%
Model Edge
+25.1%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Hits Allowed84.6%59.5%1.18+25.1%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games5/5
Last 10 games7/7

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AI Analysis

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Andrew Abbott Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-147)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Cincinnati Reds play Athletics in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Andrew Abbott Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-147). That is a Hits Allowed bet. It was priced at -147 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted
80%hit L10
L2085%
O 2.580%
O 3.570%
O 4.570%
O 5.560%
O 6.530%
O 7.510%

Andrew Abbott MLB hits allowed: cleared over 2.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
100%hit L10
Streak20L20100%
O 0.5100%
O 1.570%
O 2.520%

Andrew Abbott MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
2.6avg earned runs · L5

Andrew Abbott MLB earned runs: averaging 2.6 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
16.6avg outs · L5

Andrew Abbott MLB outs: averaging 16.6 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Aug 26 Athletics @ Cincinnati Reds Pitcher - Hits Allowed 5.5 Under -147 ✗ MISS
06 Aug 26 Athletics @ Cincinnati Reds Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under -133 ✗ MISS
01 Aug 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ Cincinnati Reds Pitcher - Walks 2.5 Under -192 ✗ MISS
01 Aug 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ Cincinnati Reds Pitcher - Hits Allowed Pending
01 Aug 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ Cincinnati Reds Pitcher - Earned Runs Pending

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About This Player

Andrew Abbott is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Andrew Abbott is Under 5.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +25.1% on this pick. Their next game is Athletics vs Cincinnati Reds on Thursday 6 August at Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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