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The latest Bet Better model pick for Andrew Abbott is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On the Pitcher - Strikeouts market the model assigns a model win probability of 94%, versus the book's implied 90%, for a model edge of +3.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:15AM UTC
MLB

Andrew Abbott

CIN

+3.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts Over 2.5 -909 (1.11)
+3.9% Edge
New York Mets @ Cincinnati Reds
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, Ohio · Outdoor
Fri 5 Sep, 10:40PM
Confirmed probable starter
Probable SP vs CIN @ SEA
updated Jul 21, 1:40AM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
94.0%
Implied Probability
90.1%
Model Edge
+3.9%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts94.0%—90.1%1.06+3.9%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games3/10

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AI Analysis

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Andrew Abbott (CIN) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-909)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Based on the provided data, betting on Andrew Abbott to achieve over 2.5 strikeouts is a statistically sound choice. His overall average for strikeouts in the last five games is 6.6, which is significantly higher than the betting line of 2.5. Even when considering less favorable conditions such as home games or games against the Mets, his averages still exceed the line at 5.4 and 4.5 respectively. Furthermore, Abbott's current overall hit streak is 6, indicating a consistent high performance. The fact that he averages more than 2.5 strikeouts in different scenarios, combined with his current form, suggests a high probability of him exceeding 2.5 strikeouts in the upcoming game. Therefore, the data supports the bet for Abbott to achieve over 2.5 strikeouts.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted
80%hit L10
L2085%
O 2.580%
O 3.570%
O 4.570%
O 5.560%
O 6.530%
O 7.510%

Andrew Abbott MLB hits allowed: cleared over 2.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
100%hit L10
Streak20L20100%
O 0.5100%
O 1.570%
O 2.520%

Andrew Abbott MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
2.6avg earned runs · L5

Andrew Abbott MLB earned runs: averaging 2.6 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
16.6avg outs · L5

Andrew Abbott MLB outs: averaging 16.6 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Andrew Abbott (CIN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Andrew Abbott is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.9% on this pick. Their next game is New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds on Friday 5 September at Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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