Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates : Pittsburgh Pirates Win (+169)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on the Pittsburgh Pirates is a calculated risk based on the Brewers' recent performance against the Pirates. Despite the Brewers' strong home record, they have a losing record (2-3) against the Pirates in their last five encounters. This suggests that the Pirates have been able to overcome the Brewers' home advantage. Additionally, while the Brewers have a strong defensive record at home (allowing an average of only 1 run per game), the Pirates have shown they can score against them. The Pirates' overall runs scored average (4.2) is below the Brewers' (5.8), but their recent head-to-head record indicates they can outscore the Brewers when it counts. Thus, the bet on the Pirates is a value bet based on their demonstrated ability to beat the Brewers.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates : Pittsburgh Pirates Win (+166)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on the Pittsburgh Pirates is a calculated risk based on the Brewers' recent performance against the Pirates and the overall average runs allowed by both teams. Despite Brewers' strong home record, they have a losing record of 2-3 against the Pirates in their last 5 matches. This indicates that the Pirates have been able to outperform the Brewers in recent head-to-head encounters. Additionally, the Brewers have an average of 2.2 runs allowed in their last 5 games overall, while the Pirates have a slightly higher average of 3.8 runs allowed. However, the Pirates have been able to limit their runs allowed to 3.6 in their last 5 away games, showing defensive resilience on the road. Given these stats, the Pirates have a reasonable chance of winning, justifying the bet.

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