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MLB
Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore
Outdoor
Wed 1 Jul 2026, 12:35 PM ET
Chicago White Sox
VS
Baltimore Orioles

Chicago White Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 20 markets for Chicago White Sox vs Baltimore Orioles and backs Under 10.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $190.

20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Under 10.5 total runs
Under 10.5 Total Runs
You bet$10 If it wins$19.01Best price-111
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win69.5%
The price says52.6%

The model graded 20 markets for Chicago White Sox vs Baltimore Orioles (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $190 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Wed 1 Jul 2026, 12:35 PM ET at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs Under 10.5 High70% chance -111
Total Runs Members only Lean57% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Lean50% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Chicago White Sox and Baltimore Orioles last met on Wed 1 Jul 2026: Baltimore Orioles won 6-1. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs
Under
10
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 67,095+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago White SoxMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Chicago White Sox

  • Luis Castillo SPOut
  • Prelander Berroa RPOut
  • Ky Bush SPOut
  • Jordan Leasure RPOut
  • Joey Bart COut
  • Mike Vasil RPOut
  • Tanner Murray LFOut
  • Brooks Baldwin LFOut

Probable pitcher

Sean Burke SP

Baltimore Orioles

  • Jordan Westburg 3BOut
  • Kyle Bradish SPOut
  • Blaze Alexander 3BOut
  • Tyler O'Neill RFOut
  • Samuel Basallo COut
  • Jackson Holliday 2BOut
  • Ryan Helsley RPOut
  • Ryan Mountcastle 1BOut
  • Luis Robert Jr. CFOut
  • Reed Trimble LFDay-to-day
  • Colin Selby RPOut
  • Keegan Akin RPOut
  • Cameron Foster RPDay-to-day
  • Zach Eflin SPOut
Availability updated Oct 11, 12:00AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Chicago White Sox vs Baltimore Orioles: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 22 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability22 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineBaltimore OriolesNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF5.0L5 RA3.8Home L54-1vs Chicago White Sox L52-3

Baltimore Orioles moneyline form: last five 3-2, 5.0 runs/gm.

Run LineBaltimore Orioles run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF5.0L5 RA3.8Home L54-1vs Chicago White Sox L52-3

Baltimore Orioles spread form: last five 3-2, 5.0 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago White SoxNo line posted

Baltimore Orioles total runs form: last five 3-2, 5.0 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsBaltimore Orioles team totalNo line posted
4.9runs we expect
L5 RF5.0L5 RA3.8Home L54-1vs Chicago White Sox L52-3

Baltimore Orioles team total runs form: last five 3-2, 5.0 runs/gm.

Chicago White Sox @ Baltimore Orioles — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Chicago White Sox at Baltimore Orioles — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Chicago White Sox vs Baltimore Orioles — recent results

Baltimore Orioles have won 4 of their last 5 games; Chicago White Sox have won 2 of their last 5.

Baltimore Orioles — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–6NYYAway
W10–2NYYAway
W4–2TORHome
W4–2TORHome
W4–3TORHome
Chicago White Sox — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L0–2CLEAway
L5–9CLEHome
L3–9CLEHome
W4–3CLEAway
W3–0CLEAway

Chicago White Sox vs Baltimore Orioles — recent meetings

These two have met 6 times recently: Baltimore Orioles won 4, Chicago White Sox won 2.

DateBaltimore OriolesChicago White SoxWinner
Jul 161Baltimore Orioles
Jun 3039Chicago White Sox
Jun 2928Chicago White Sox
Apr 853Baltimore Orioles
Apr 742Baltimore Orioles
Apr 621Baltimore Orioles

Who’s out or in doubt

22 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Baltimore Orioles
PlayerStatus
Jordan Westburg 3BOUT
Kyle Bradish SPOUT
Blaze Alexander 3BOUT
Tyler O'Neill RFOUT
Samuel Basallo COUT
Jackson Holliday 2BOUT
Ryan Helsley RPOUT
Ryan Mountcastle 1BOUT
Chicago White Sox
PlayerStatus
Luis Castillo SPOUT
Prelander Berroa RPOUT
Ky Bush SPOUT
Jordan Leasure RPOUT
Joey Bart COUT
Mike Vasil RPOUT
Tanner Murray LFOUT
Brooks Baldwin LFOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Chicago White Sox @ Baltimore Orioles — model preview

Deep dive into Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago White Sox MLB game. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Check out MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago White Sox stats and odds.

Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago White Sox : Under 10 Total Runs (-112)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

As the Orioles welcome the White Sox to Camden Yards, the expectation of a high-scoring affair may not hold up under scrutiny. Both teams have shown a tendency to struggle at the plate recently. The Orioles, while capable of putting up runs, have seen their lineup struggle against left-handed pitching, and with the Sox likely sending out a reliable southpaw, those struggles could continue. On the flip side, the White Sox have been mired in a slump, averaging barely four runs over their last ten games. Meanwhile, the Orioles' pitching staff has quietly turned into a strength, spotlighting a solid bullpen that excels in high-leverage situations. Given these trends, coupled with a total set at 10 runs, betting the under seems not just appealing but insightful—especially with model predictions hovering around 9.35. Expect a tight contest where runs may be at a premium rather than a slugfest.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Chicago White Sox vs Baltimore Orioles in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Sox vs Orioles, or as Orioles vs Sox. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 1 July 2026 at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Chicago White Sox vs Baltimore Orioles head-to-head record

Final scores · 25 meetings on record
Baltimore Orioles 20–5 across the last 25 meetings · these games average 9.0 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Wed 1 Jul 2026, Chicago White Sox at Baltimore Orioles: the Orioles won 6-1.

DateGameScoreWinner
1 Jul 2026Chicago White Sox @ Baltimore Orioles6–1Baltimore Orioles
30 Jun 2026Chicago White Sox @ Baltimore Orioles3–9Chicago White Sox
29 Jun 2026Chicago White Sox @ Baltimore Orioles2–8Chicago White Sox
8 Apr 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Chicago White Sox3–5Baltimore Orioles
7 Apr 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Chicago White Sox2–4Baltimore Orioles
6 Apr 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Chicago White Sox1–2Baltimore Orioles
17 Sep 2025Baltimore Orioles @ Chicago White Sox1–3Baltimore Orioles
16 Sep 2025Baltimore Orioles @ Chicago White Sox7–8Baltimore Orioles
15 Sep 2025Baltimore Orioles @ Chicago White Sox1–4Baltimore Orioles
1 Jun 2025Chicago White Sox @ Baltimore Orioles3–2Baltimore Orioles

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 25 meetings on file.

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