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Model picks & player props
Melbourne Demons
VS
Carlton Blues

Melbourne Demons vs Carlton Blues Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 10, 2:29PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

AFL
MCG, Melbourne
Outdoor
Sun 29 Mar 2026, 4:15AM
7
Game markets graded
13
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Melbourne Demons (Moneyline)
The model graded 20 markets for Melbourne Demons vs Carlton Blues (AFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — GOOD confidence. A $100 bet returns about $187 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 69.2%, fair odds 1.45, book price -115, model edge +15.7%. Tip-off Sun 29 Mar 2026, 4:15AM at MCG.

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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Moneyline
Melbourne Demons
+ 6 more markets
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🔒

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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Melbourne DemonsHead to HeadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Carlton BluesHead to HeadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Melbourne DemonsSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Demons

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Blues

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Melbourne Demons vs Carlton Blues: Wet or windy conditions tend to lower AFL scoring, though live conditions for this exact fixture aren't wired in here yet, and player availability isn't tracked for AFL on this page.
FactorThis fixture
Match conditionsWet weather slows AFL scoring and lifts the value of contested-ball sides, but live per-fixture conditions aren't joined to this page yet.

General rule: wet weather lowers AFL scoring and rewards contested-ball and defensive sides, while a late out among key forwards or midfielders reshapes a team's scoring spread.

Live per-fixture AFL conditions aren't joined to this page yet — the note above is a general conditions rule, not this exact game's forecast.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Sam Walsh Carlton Disposals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Nic Newman Carlton Disposals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Patrick Cripps Carlton Disposals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
George Hewett Carlton Disposals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Oliver Hollands Carlton Disposals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Melbourne Demons @ Carlton Blues — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Melbourne Demons at Carlton Blues — 7 on the game itself and 13 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

7
Game markets graded
13
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Melbourne Demons @ Carlton Blues — model preview

Latest AFL betting preview: Carlton Blues vs Melbourne Demons. Get predictions and top picks. Includes analysis on key players like George Hewett. Keywords: AFL predictions, AFL game picks, betting preview, Carlton Blues vs Melbourne Demons stats and odds.

George Hewett (Carlton) Over 21.5 Disposals (-400)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking ahead to the clash between the Carlton Blues and Melbourne Demons at the iconic MCG, George Hewett emerges as a prime pick to shine. Hewett, stationed in familiar home territory, has been a force to reckon with in his recent outings. Averaging a solid 26.6 disposals in his last five home games, he has consistently delivered on the field, showcasing a keen eye for the ball. With his penchant for contested possessions (14.2 avg) and efficient ball use (77.4% disposalefficiency), Hewett is poised to control the midfield battle. Facing Melbourne, against whom he has previously notched up an average of 20 disposals, Hewett is primed to surpass the 21.5 disposal line set by sportsbet. Expect him to rack up the possessions and drive the Blues forward as he continues his stellar form.

🔒 The other 5 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Melbourne Demons vs Carlton Blues in the AFL. You may also see this matchup written as Demons vs Blues, or as Blues vs Demons. The most recent game between them was Sunday 29 March 2026 at MCG. The model has generated 7 game picks and 13 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your AFL betting strategy for this matchup.

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