Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Stephanie Talbot is Under 7.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 84 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 84%, implied 52%, edge +31.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current WNBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 20, 7:44AM UTC
WNBA
Stephanie Talbot
WNBA
Latest Model Pick
Points
Under 7.5
-110 (1.91) · $100→$191
+31.5% Edge
New York Liberty
@
Las Vegas Aces
Michelob Ultra Arena, Las Vegas · Indoor
Fri 31 Jul, 2:05AM
The recordWhen our formula calls wnba spread calls: 655 of 825 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
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How often this wins
84 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 83.8% · the book's price implies 52.4% · gap +31.5%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Points | 83.8% | — | 52.4% | 2.06 | +31.5% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 3/3 |
| Last 5 games | 5/5 |
| Last 10 games | 10/10 |
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Stephanie Talbot Under 7.5 Points (-110)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing Las Vegas Aces play New York Liberty in the WNBA on Friday 31 July 2026. The bet we are looking at is Stephanie Talbot Under 7.5 Points. That is a player points bet. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The game is at Michelob Ultra Arena in Las Vegas. Our model expects Stephanie Talbot to finish with about 3.7 points. The line for this one is 7.5. Our number sits below that line. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite.
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| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 31 Jul 26 |
New York Liberty @ Las Vegas Aces |
Points |
7.5 |
Under |
-110 |
✓ HIT |
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Stephanie Talbot is tracked by the Bet Better model for WNBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Stephanie Talbot is Under 7.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +31.5% on this pick. Their next game is New York Liberty vs Las Vegas Aces on Friday 31 July at Michelob Ultra Arena, Las Vegas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your WNBA betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.