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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jewell Loyd is Under 2.5 on player_threes.
On the player_threes market the model assigns a model win probability of 72%, versus the book's implied 43%, for a model edge of +29.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current WNBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 29, 6:17AM UTC
WNBA

Jewell Loyd

WNBA

+29.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
player_threes Under 2.5 +134 (2.34)
+29.1% Edge
Portland Fire @ Las Vegas Aces
Michelob Ultra Arena, Las Vegas · Indoor
Wed 29 Jul, 2:05AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
71.8%
Implied Probability
42.7%
Model Edge
+29.1%
Predicted Value
1.8 player_threes

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
player_threes71.8%42.7%2.50+29.1%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

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Jewell Loyd Under 2.5 Three-Pointers Made (+134)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Aces prepare to host the Fire at the Michelob Ultra Arena, all eyes will be on Jewell Loyd, but a closer look suggests the under on her three-pointers made is the savvy play. While Loyd is undoubtedly a dynamic scorer, this matchup presents challenges that could limit her perimeter success. The Aces' defense is notorious for stifling outside shooting, forcing opponents to adapt or falter. With their focus on closing out hard, Loyd may find it tough to get clean looks from beyond the arc. Furthermore, the Aces boast a deep roster, meaning Loyd may not carry the same scoring burden tonight. Considering our model's projection of around 1.8 treys, it seems reasonable to think she'll fall short of 2.5. In what promises to be a tightly contested game, taking the under on Loyd's three-pointers is a calculated move that reflects the realities of this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jewell Loyd is tracked by the Bet Better model for WNBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jewell Loyd is Under 2.5 on player_threes. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +29.1% on this pick. Their next game is Portland Fire vs Las Vegas Aces on Wednesday 29 July at Michelob Ultra Arena, Las Vegas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your WNBA betting strategy.

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