Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for A'ja Wilson is Over 33.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On the Points + Rebounds market the model assigns a model win probability of 76%, versus the book's implied 53%, for a model edge of +22.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current WNBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 5:21PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Pts+Reb
Over 33.5
-112 (1.89) · $100→$189
+22.7% Edge
Washington Mystics
@
Las Vegas Aces
Michelob Ultra Arena, Las Vegas · Indoor
Wed 12 Aug, 2:00AM
The recordWhen our formula calls wnba spread calls: 366 of 467 right
OUT
Wilson (rest) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Liberty.
updated Aug 9, 2:04PM UTC · 1d old
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Implied Probability
52.9%
Predicted Value
37.6 Pts+Reb
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pts+Reb | 75.7% | — | 52.9% | 2.02 | +22.7% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 2/3 |
| Last 5 games | 3/5 |
| Last 10 games | 6/10 |
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A'ja Wilson Over 33.5 Points and Rebounds Combined (-112)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing Las Vegas Aces play Washington Mystics in the WNBA on Wednesday 12 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is A'ja Wilson Over 33.5 Points and Rebounds Combined. That is a player points and rebounds combined bet. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. The game is at Michelob Ultra Arena in Las Vegas. Our model expects A'ja Wilson to finish with about 37.6 points and rebounds combined. The line for this one is 33.5. Our number sits above that line. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite.
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| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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A'ja Wilson is tracked by the Bet Better model for WNBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for A'ja Wilson is Over 33.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +22.7% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Mystics vs Las Vegas Aces on Wednesday 12 August at Michelob Ultra Arena, Las Vegas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your WNBA betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.