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The latest Bet Better model pick for A'ja Wilson is Under 29.5 on Points + Assists.
On Points + Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 67 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 67%, the price says 54%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current WNBA schedule.
Model updated Sep 20, 6:45AM UTC
WNBA

A'ja Wilson

WNBA

Value call

A'ja Wilson has one live pick today: Pts+Ast Under 29.5 that pays $185 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Pts+Ast Under 29.5 -118 (1.85) · $100→$185
Value call
Las Vegas Aces @ Seattle Storm
Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle · Indoor
Fri 18 Sep, 2:00AM
The recordWhen our formula calls wnba totals unders: 1,907 of 2,587 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
67 in 100
Predicted
26.8 Pts+Ast
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 67.2% · the book's price implies 54.1% · gap +13.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts+Ast67.2%—54.1%1.98+13.2%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

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Seattle Storm vs Las Vegas Aces: A'ja Wilson Under 29.5 Points + Assists (-118)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

A'ja Wilson has been a key player for the Las Vegas Aces, but her recent performances show some signs of slowing down. In the last five games, she has averaged just under 29.5 points and assists combined, which is a bit below what we usually expect from her. She's also been struggling with offensive rebounds and blocks lately, which can impact her scoring opportunities. The Seattle Storm will be looking to make a statement at home, and they can put up a tough defense. The most concrete risk is that Wilson could bounce back in a big way since she has shown she can score when needed. Still, based on how she's been playing, betting on her to stay under 29.5 points and assists feels like a solid choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Quick answers:How many points does A'ja Wilson average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Sep 26 Las Vegas Aces @ Seattle Storm Reb+Ast 12.5 Under +101 ✓ HIT
18 Sep 26 Las Vegas Aces @ Seattle Storm Rebounds 9.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
29 Aug 26 Toronto Tempo @ Las Vegas Aces Reb+Ast 12.5 Under -108 ✓ HIT
18 Sep 26 Las Vegas Aces @ Seattle Storm Pts+Ast — — — Pending
18 Sep 26 Las Vegas Aces @ Seattle Storm Pts+Reb+Ast — — — Pending
18 Sep 26 Las Vegas Aces @ Seattle Storm Assists — — — Pending

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About This Player

A'ja Wilson is tracked by the Bet Better model for WNBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for A'ja Wilson is Under 29.5 on Points + Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.2% on this pick. Their next game is Las Vegas Aces vs Seattle Storm on Friday 18 September at Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your WNBA betting strategy.

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