<p>New York Liberty v Seattle Storm, 4 August 2026. Top of the list: Under 198.5 Total Points. Our model likes 5 bets in this game.</p>
On Tuesday 4 August 2026, New York Liberty play Seattle Storm in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 198.5 Total Points, priced at -476 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Under 198.5 Total Points (-476)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
As the New York Liberty welcome the Seattle Storm to Barclays Center, the matchup sets the stage for a game that could be more about defense than offensive fireworks. Both teams have shown a tendency to lean on their defensive prowess, especially as the playoffs loom. With the Liberty boasting one of the league's toughest defenses and the Storm struggling to find their rhythm offensively, expect a slower, grind-it-out affair. The pace should be methodical, as New York prefers to control the tempo, leading to fewer possessions. Our model reflects this anticipated grind, projecting a combined total of around 160 points. With these teams having a history of low-scoring clashes, the Under 198.5 feels like a smart play. Don't be surprised if we see a tense, defensive battle unfold, keeping the score well below that line. It was priced at -476 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.10 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Seattle Storm +20.5 on the Line (-526)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
As the New York Liberty gear up to host the Seattle Storm at the Barclays Center, this matchup promises to be a fascinating clash of styles. The Liberty are known for their high-octane offense, but the Storm have a knack for slowing down the pace and executing their game plan with precision. With our model projecting a final margin of around 6.2 points in favor of New York, the alternate spread on the Storm at +20.5 feels enticing. Seattle's resilience, combined with their ability to stretch defenses, could keep them competitive throughout the contest. They've shown the capacity to rise to the occasion against top-tier teams, and on this stage, they'll be looking to prove their mettle. Expect a hard-fought battle where the Storm can leverage their experience and savvy to stay within striking distance, making that 20.5 spread a compelling opportunity to capitalize on. It was priced at -526 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.90 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Dominique Malonga Over 7.5 Rebounds (-149)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
New York Liberty play Seattle Storm in the WNBA on Tuesday 4 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Dominique Malonga Over 7.5 Rebounds. That is a player rebounds bet. It was priced at -149 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.70 if it lands. It is on at Barclays Center in New York. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Flau'jae Johnson Over 11.5 Points (-250)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
New York Liberty play Seattle Storm in the WNBA on Tuesday 4 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Flau'jae Johnson Over 11.5 Points. That is a player points bet. It was priced at -250 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14 if it lands. It is on at Barclays Center in New York. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Awa Fam Over 5.5 Rebounds (-114)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
New York Liberty play Seattle Storm in the WNBA on Tuesday 4 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Awa Fam Over 5.5 Rebounds. That is a player rebounds bet. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. It is on at Barclays Center in New York. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads New York Liberty v Seattle Storm. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.