On September 25, 2026 our model has run Maja Chwalinska at Elise Mertens and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Elise Mertens to win the match (-182), which we rate strong confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.
Every bet we like in this game
Elise Mertens vs Maja Chwalinska: Elise Mertens to win the match (-182)
Odds available at Betfair at time of publishing
Elise Mertens faces Maja Chwalinska at Singapore Open on Friday 25 September 2026. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Elise Mertens wins the match. It was priced at -182 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.50 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Elise Mertens is the value pick at 1.55 against Maja Chwalinska, boasting a stronger recent win rate of 80% over her last five matches compared to Chwalinska's lower performance. While both players have similar serve statistics, Mertens' overall form indicates a superior ability to win pressure points, especially given her opponent's struggle in key metrics: Chwalinska has only managed a 50% break point save rate and a 22% win rate on second serve points over her last five matches. Mertens' consistent form and ability to capitalize on opponents' weaknesses suggest a higher likelihood of securing the win. Thus, the combination of Mertens’ solid win rate and Chwalinska’s serving vulnerabilities make this a strong pick.
Elise Mertens vs Maja Chwalinska: Elise Mertens -4 Game Handicap (+108)
Odds available at Pinnacle at time of publishing
Elise Mertens has been playing well lately, showing her strong skills on the court. She's up against Maja Chwalinska, and I think Mertens can cover the -4 game handicap. This means she needs to win by at least five games, which seems doable given her recent form.
The matchup is pretty close, though, so there is a chance it could be tighter than expected. If Chwalinska plays at her best, it might get tricky. Still, I believe Mertens has what it takes to win by enough to make this bet worth considering.
Elise Mertens vs Maja Chwalinska: Under 21 Total Games (-108)
Odds available at Pinnacle at time of publishing
Elise Mertens and Maja Chwalinska both bring strong games to the court, but they can be inconsistent at times. Mertens has a solid serve that can put pressure on Chwalinska, while Chwalinska tends to struggle against aggressive players. This means we might see fewer games than expected.
Betting on under 21 total games seems like a smart move here. Our numbers show there's a good chance this bet will hit, with a predicted combined total just over 21. The biggest risk is that both players could surprise us with a longer match, but the signs point to a quicker finish today.
Elise Mertens vs Maja Chwalinska: Elise Mertens Set 1 Winner (-200)
Odds available at BetMGM at time of publishing
Elise Mertens has been playing strong lately, showing solid skills on the court. She faces Maja Chwalinska, who is less experienced and has struggled against top players. Betting on Mertens to win the first set makes sense since our numbers give her a good chance.
The most concrete risk is that Mertens can sometimes start slow, which might give Chwalinska a chance to capitalize. Still, given Mertens' recent form and the matchup, she should take control early.
That is the full board for this game. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.