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Model picks & player props
Tennis
Fri 9 Oct 2026, 7:00 AM ET
Iga Swiatek
VS
Elise Mertens

Iga Swiatek vs Elise Mertens Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 12 markets for Iga Swiatek vs Elise Mertens and backs Elise Mertens 4.5 hardest, a long shot, and $100 on it returns about $239.

11
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Elise Mertens
with a 4.5-game head start
Elise Mertens 4.5 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$23.90Best price+139
Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win39.3%
The price says40.3%

The model graded 12 markets for Iga Swiatek vs Elise Mertens (Tennis) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $239 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Fri 9 Oct 2026, 7:00 AM ET.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Elise Mertens 4.5 Long-shot39% chance +139
Spread Members only Long-shot34% chance Members
Total Games Members only Lean50% chance Members
Moneyline × 1 prop Long-shotup to 23% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Tennis game on today's board →

Iga Swiatek and Elise Mertens last met on Fri 9 Oct 2026. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every Tennis game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Elise Mertens
+4.5
+139
+ 10 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Elise MertensSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Elise MertensSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Elise MertensSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Elise MertensSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Elise MertensSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Iga Swiatek

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Elise Mertens

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Iga Swiatek vs Elise Mertens: Tennis weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Tennis on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
Total GamesElise Mertens vs Iga SwiatekNo line posted
54%model under %
2.00fair price
PickUnder 20Model53.9%Fair2.00Odds-106

Elise Mertens vs Iga Swiatek — Total Games (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Under 20 at -106, fair price 2.00; our model makes it 53.9% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Game HandicapElise Mertens vs Iga SwiatekNo line posted
53%model cover %
2.11fair price
PickElise Mertens 5Model52.8%Fair2.11Odds+104

Elise Mertens vs Iga Swiatek — Game Handicap (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Elise Mertens 5 at +104, fair price 2.11; our model makes it 52.8% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Iga Swiatek @ Elise Mertens — what the model found

Our model graded 12 betting markets for Iga Swiatek at Elise Mertens — 11 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

11
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 12 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 11 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Iga Swiatek vs Elise Mertens in the Tennis. You may also see this matchup written as Swiatek vs Mertens, or as Mertens vs Swiatek. The most recent game between them was Friday 9 October 2026. The model has generated 11 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Tennis betting strategy for this matchup.

Iga Swiatek vs Elise Mertens: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 9 Oct 2026Elise Mertens beat Iga Swiatek 7-6 6-3 at China Open
  • 23 Mar 2025Iga Swiatek beat Elise Mertens 7-6 6-1 at Miami Open
  • 18 Apr 2024Iga Swiatek beat Elise Mertens 6-3 6-4 at Porsche Tennis Grand Prix

Iga Swiatek: last 5 matches

  1. 17 Oct 2026Lostvs Maja Chwalinska 7-5 6-1Wuhan Open · Semifinals · Hard
  2. 16 Oct 2026Wonvs Ann Li 6-4 6-1Wuhan Open · Quarterfinals · Hard
  3. 15 Oct 2026Wonvs Ashlyn Krueger 6-1 6-4Wuhan Open · 3rd Round · Hard
  4. 14 Oct 2026Wonvs Magdalena Frech 6-2 6-1Wuhan Open · 2nd Round · Hard
  5. 9 Oct 2026Lostvs Elise Mertens 7-6 6-3China Open · Quarterfinals · Hard

Elise Mertens: last 5 matches

  1. 29 Oct 2026Lostvs Leylah Fernandez 6-2 7-6Toray Pan Pacific Open Tennis Tournament · 2nd Round · Hard
  2. 26 Oct 2026Wonvs Moyuka Uchijima 6-4 6-2Toray Pan Pacific Open Tennis Tournament · 1st Round · Hard
  3. 19 Oct 2026Lostvs Leylah Fernandez 2-6 6-3 7-5Ningbo Open · 1st Round · Hard
  4. 13 Oct 2026Lostvs Daria Snigur 6-4 7-5Wuhan Open · 1st Round · Hard
  5. 10 Oct 2026Lostvs Qinwen Zheng 7-5 6-2China Open · Semifinals · Hard

Quick answers

Who won the last Elise Mertens vs Iga Swiatek match? Elise Mertens won their last meeting 7-6 6-3 at China Open on 9 October 2026.

How have Iga Swiatek and Elise Mertens done lately? Iga Swiatek won 3 and lost 2 of the last 5 matches we hold. Elise Mertens won 1 and lost 4 of the last 5 matches we hold.

Main-tour matches only. Qualifying and most smaller events are left out.

Head-to-head record

Completed matches · last 3 meetings
Iga Swiatek 2–1 across the last 3 meetings
DateWinnerScoreTournamentSurface
9 Oct 2026Elise Mertens7-6 6-3China Open · QuarterfinalsHard
23 Mar 2025Iga Swiatek7-6 6-1Miami Open · 3rd RoundHard
18 Apr 2024Iga Swiatek6-3 6-4Porsche Tennis Grand Prix · 2nd RoundClay
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