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Model picks & player props
Mariano Navone
VS
Matteo Berrettini

Mariano Navone vs Matteo Berrettini Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 22, 7:59PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Tennis
Mon 3 Aug 2026, 3:00PM
20
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Mariano Navone Set 2 Winner +160

The model graded 21 markets for Mariano Navone vs Matteo Berrettini (Tennis) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $260 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Mon 3 Aug 2026, 3:00PM.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win45.4%
The price says36.6%
Best price+160
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Set 2 Winner Mariano Navone Lean45% chance +160
Total Games High62% chance —
Spread High61% chance —
Set 1 Winner Lean45% chance —
Total Games High67% chance —
Total Games Lean56% chance —
Total Games High64% chance —
Set 2 Total Games High98% chance —
Total Games High60% chance —
Moneyline × 1 prop Highup to 83% —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Set 2 Winner
Mariano Navone
+160
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Mariano NavoneSet 2 WinnerThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Mariano NavoneSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Mariano NavoneSet 1 WinnerThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Mariano NavoneSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Mariano NavoneSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Mariano NavoneSet 1 Game HandicapThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Mariano Navone

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Matteo Berrettini

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Mariano Navone vs Matteo Berrettini: Tennis weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Tennis on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Moneyline

+ 1 player prop graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total GamesMatteo Berrettini vs Mariano NavoneNo line posted
62%model under %
1.83fair price
PickUnder 23.5Model62.5%Fair1.83Odds-141

Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone — Total Games (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Under 23.5 at -141, fair price 1.83; our model makes it 62.5% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Game HandicapMatteo Berrettini vs Mariano NavoneNo line posted
61%model cover %
1.88fair price
PickMariano Navone 3.5Model61.1%Fair1.88Odds-133

Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone — Game Handicap (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Mariano Navone 3.5 at -133, fair price 1.88; our model makes it 61.1% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 Total GamesMatteo Berrettini vs Mariano NavoneNo line posted
92%model over %
1.14fair price
PickOver 7.5Model92.0%Fair1.14Odds-2000

Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone — Set 1 Total Games (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Over 7.5 at -2000, fair price 1.14; our model makes it 92.0% (HIGH). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 Game HandicapMatteo Berrettini vs Mariano NavoneNo line posted
56%model cover %
1.91fair price
PickMariano Navone 1.5Model55.5%Fair1.91Odds-130

Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone — Set 1 Game Handicap (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Mariano Navone 1.5 at -130, fair price 1.91; our model makes it 55.5% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 WinnerMatteo Berrettini vs Mariano NavoneNo line posted
2.66fair price
PickMariano Navone set 1Model45.4%Fair2.66Odds+150

Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone — Set 1 Winner (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Mariano Navone set 1 at +150, fair price 2.66; our model makes it 45.4% (LONG-SHOT). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 2 WinnerMatteo Berrettini vs Mariano NavoneNo line posted
2.73fair price
PickMariano Navone set 2Model45.4%Fair2.73Odds+160

Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone — Set 2 Winner (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Mariano Navone set 2 at +160, fair price 2.73; our model makes it 45.4% (LONG-SHOT). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Mariano Navone @ Matteo Berrettini — what the model found

Our model graded 21 betting markets for Mariano Navone at Matteo Berrettini — 20 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 21 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 20 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Mariano Navone vs Matteo Berrettini in the Tennis. You may also see this matchup written as Navone vs Berrettini, or as Berrettini vs Navone. The most recent game between them was Monday 3 August 2026. The model has generated 20 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Tennis betting strategy for this matchup.

Last time they played

Completed matches · last 3 meetings
Matteo Berrettini 2–1 across the last 3 meetings
DateWinnerScoreTournamentSurface
3 Aug 2026Mariano Navone6-3 6-7 6-3Canadian Open · 1st RoundHard
7 Apr 2025Matteo Berrettini6-4 6-4Monte Carlo Masters · 1st RoundClay
6 Apr 2024Matteo Berrettini6-7 6-3 6-2Grand Prix Hassan II · SemifinalsClay
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