On October 09, 2026 our model has run Roman Safiullin at Francisco Cerundolo and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Francisco Cerundolo to win the match (-103), which we rate lean confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.
Every bet we like in this game
Francisco Cerundolo vs Roman Safiullin: Francisco Cerundolo to win the match (-103)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Francisco Cerundolo faces Roman Safiullin at Shanghai Masters on Friday 9 October 2026. They are playing on a hard court. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Francisco Cerundolo wins the match. It was priced at -103 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.70 if it lands. Our model leans this way without loving it. Francisco Cerundolo presents value at 1.97 against Roman Safiullin based on key performance metrics. Over his last five matches, Cerundolo boasts an impressive 80% win rate, underpinned by a high first-serve percentage (70.38%) and first-serve points won (82.48%). His overall serve points won stands at 74.62%, significantly outpacing Safiullin, who has a lower serve points win rate of 65.75%. Furthermore, Cerundolo's ace rate (4.87%) is more favorable than Safiullin's (8.72%), which can be crucial on hard courts. Given these stats and Cerundolo's recent form, he is positioned well to capitalize on Safiullin's vulnerabilities.
Francisco Cerundolo vs Roman Safiullin: Francisco Cerundolo -1 Game Handicap (+112)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Francisco Cerundolo and Roman Safiullin are set to face off in a tight match. Both players have been performing well, making this matchup feel almost like a coin flip. Cerundolo has the home advantage, and that can often give players a boost when they are competing in familiar surroundings.
Betting on Cerundolo to win by at least one game seems like a solid choice, given his local support. However, Safiullin is a strong competitor and could easily put up a tough fight. The risk here is that this match could be closer than expected, making it a nail-biter to watch.
That is the whole read on this one. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.