St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction & Picks (Elly De La Cruz Key Factor): Winning Game Angles

The bet on Victor Scott II for under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is supported by his recent and overall performance data. Over his last five games, Scott's stolen base average is only 0.2, both overall and at home, suggesting he rarely steals bases. Furthermore, against the Cincinnati Reds, his stolen base average drops to zero, indicating he has not been successful in stealing bases against this particular opponent. His lack of caught stealing (Cs) averages also supports this, as it implies he doesn't attempt to steal often. Thus, the likelihood of Scott stealing a base in this upcoming game is statistically low, making the under 0.5 bet a strong choice.

Sonny Gray (STL) Over 3.5 Hits Allowed (-476)

This bet on Sonny Gray allowing over 3.5 hits is a strong choice based on his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Gray has an average of 4.2 hits allowed overall and 4.6 hits allowed at home, both of which are above the line of 3.5. His innings pitched and outs averages also indicate that he tends to stay in the game long enough to potentially allow more than 3.5 hits. Additionally, when facing the Reds, his hits allowed average increases slightly to 4.7, suggesting that this particular matchup could result in a higher number of hits. Lastly, Gray is currently on a hit streak both overall and at home, further supporting the likelihood of him allowing over 3.5 hits in this game.