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Soccer

Athletic Bilbao

Next game: Athletic Bilbao play at Valencia on Saturday 17 October. The market makes Athletic Bilbao close to a coin flip to win, a fair price of about $2.20, and a draw about a 3 in 10 chance. 2 of Athletic Bilbao's last 10 league games had over 2.5 goals. See the game preview

Won-drawn-lost2-2-2
At home1-2-1
Goals a game1.17
Last 5LWWDD
Next Game: vs Valencia (Away) Sat 17 Oct, 9:00 PM CEST Mestalla, Valencia · Outdoor Game preview ›

Today's Game Pick

Our callFree
Athletic Bilbao at Valencia
Valencia
+0.75 goal handicap
Valencia +0.75 Spread
HIGH
Our numbers say this wins about 67 times in 100 · a $100 bet returns about $153 if it lands
You bet$10 If it wins$15.30 Odds-189
See why we picked it

Our model gives it about a 67% chance to land; the price says about 60%. That gap is why it made the board.

+10.4%
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Model updated Oct 10, 8:13PM UTC
Answer
The Athletic Bilbao model is leaning Valencia on the spread in the Spread market vs Valencia.
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Every game bet, checked by our model

Our number vs the price
MarketModel output
SpreadWith Pro
Draw No BetWith Pro
MoneylineWith Pro
Head to Head (3-Way)With Pro
SpreadWith Pro
Total GoalsWith Pro
Both Teams to ScoreWith Pro

The model has graded 7 game bets on this team — which ones it backs, and how much to put on, is ready for subscribers.

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How the price moved

When prices opened: Athletic Bilbao about 5 in 10 to win. Now: about 5 in 10. About where it opened.

Best price and how much the bookies keep

Who wins
ResultMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Valenciaabout 3 in 10$3.72$3.60
Drawabout 3 in 10$3.61$3.50
Athletic Bilbaoabout 5 in 10$2.20$2.15

On this match the bookies keep about $5.70 of every $100 bet on who wins, going by the 33 books we check.

All Soccer odds this week →

Athletic Bilbao fixtures and results, 2026-27

Results and upcoming games
DateOpponentResultOver 2.5 goalsBoth teams scoredGame
Sat 22 Augvs SevillaL 1-3YesYes–
Thu 27 Augat BarcelonaL 0-2NoNo–
Sun 30 Augat Celta VigoW 2-0NoNo–
Sat 5 Sepvs Atlético MadridW 3-0YesNo–
Sat 12 Sepvs Elche CFD 1-1NoYes–
Sat 19 Sepvs AlavésD 0-0NoNo–
Sat 10 Octat Rayo VallecanoResult to come––Game page
Sat 17 Octat ValenciaUpcoming · 9:00 PM CEST––Preview

Team results only; these are not Bet Better’s picks.

How often Athletic Bilbao games have goals

Team history

In 2024-25, 13 of Athletic Bilbao's 35 league games had over 2.5 goals (6 of 18 at home), and both teams scored in 19. So far in 2026-27: 2 of 6 had over 2.5 goals.

SeasonOver 2.5 goals at homeOver 2.5 goals awayOver 2.5 goals, allBoth teams scoredResults
2026-27 (so far)2 of 40 of 22 of 62 of 62 won, 2 drew, 2 lost
2024-256 of 187 of 1713 of 3519 of 3517 won, 13 drew, 5 lost
2023-2411 of 195 of 1916 of 3815 of 3819 won, 11 drew, 8 lost
2022-236 of 1911 of 1917 of 3816 of 3814 won, 9 drew, 15 lost
2021-229 of 194 of 1913 of 3817 of 3814 won, 13 drew, 11 lost
2020-218 of 197 of 1915 of 3820 of 3811 won, 13 drew, 14 lost
2019-204 of 198 of 1912 of 3817 of 3813 won, 12 drew, 13 lost
What do these numbers mean?

Over 2.5 goals means three or more goals in the game. Both teams scored means each side scored at least once. Complete seasons only, plus this season so far.

Team history, counted from final scores. Not Bet Better’s picks.

Availability

Roster status
Player availability is not tracked for Soccer. No injury/availability feed is available for this competition — absence of a listing here does not mean every player is fit.

Betting angles

3 markets live
Both Teams to Scorevs Valencia (A)-104
50%model both-score %

Athletic Bilbao both-teams-to-score angle; our model makes both teams scoring 50% here.

Total Goalsvs Valencia (A)Under +2.5 -123
56%model over %

Athletic Bilbao total-goals angle; the model prices Under at 56% here.

Spreadvs Valencia (A)Athletic Bilbao +2.5 -5000
95%model cover %

Athletic Bilbao on the +2.5 goal handicap; the model prices this cover at 95%.

Latest match preview

Athletic Bilbao's latest Bet Better match preview covers Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao, with model predictions and a same-game parlay breakdown.

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction & Same Game Parlay picks Top SGP: High-Value Opportunity

Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Bilbao, 10 October 2026. Top of the list: Both Teams To Score: No. Our model likes 3 bets in this game.

Questions about Athletic Bilbao

When do Athletic Bilbao play next?

Athletic Bilbao play at Valencia on Saturday 17 October 2026.

How often do Athletic Bilbao games have over 2.5 goals?

In 2024-25, 13 of Athletic Bilbao's 35 league games had over 2.5 goals (6 of 18 at home). So far in 2026-27: 2 of 6 had over 2.5 goals.

How often do both teams score in Athletic Bilbao games?

In 2024-25, both teams scored in 19 of Athletic Bilbao's 35 league games.

Where can I see Athletic Bilbao's next game preview?

Bet Better's Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao game page has the preview and the latest prices. Open the game page

About This Team

Athletic Bilbao are tracked by the Bet Better model across Soccer games. Their next game is against Valencia on Saturday 17 October at Mestalla. Use the data above to inform your Soccer betting decisions for Athletic Bilbao.

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