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Model picks & player props
Mallorca
VS
Villarreal

Mallorca vs Villarreal Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 10, 5:28PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

Soccer
Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal
Outdoor
Sat 22 Nov 2025, 8:00PM
6
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Draw (Head to Head (3-Way))
The model graded 6 markets for Mallorca vs Villarreal (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $460 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 30.2%, fair odds 3.31, book price +360, model edge +8.5%. Tip-off Sat 22 Nov 2025, 8:00PM at Estadio de la Cerámica.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Head to Head (3-Way)
Draw
+360
+ 5 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
DrawHead to Head 3-WayPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawHead to HeadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
MallorcaSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

RCD Mallorca

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Villarreal CF

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Mallorca vs Villarreal: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineMallorca @ VillarrealNo line posted
4-2-2past meetings (last 8)
Draw30%Home form11-5-4Away form6-5-9
past meetings, home wins4 / 8 home

In their last 8 meetings, Villarreal have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 2; the model reads Villarreal's win chance at 45% for this fixture. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Draw No BetMallorca @ VillarrealNo line posted
80%Villarreal win %
4-2-2past meetings (last 8)
Home GF/g1.8Away GF/g0.9

Villarreal to win with the stake returned on a draw; the model prices this at 80%. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Both Teams to ScoreMallorca @ VillarrealNo line posted
54%both teams score %
3 / 8past meetings, both scored
Villarreal55%Mallorca50%
past meetings, both scored3 / 8 both scored

Both teams scored in 55% of Villarreal's and 50% of Mallorca's recent matches; our model makes both teams scoring 54% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Total GoalsMallorca @ VillarrealNo line posted
4 / 8past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.555%Away ov2.535%past meetings avg2.6
past meetings, over 2.54 / 8 over

The last 8 meetings averaged 2.6 goals, over 2.5 in 4 of them. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Mallorca @ Villarreal — what the model found

Our model graded 6 betting markets for Mallorca at Villarreal — 6 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

6
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 6 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 5 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Mallorca @ Villarreal — model preview

Unlock potential winning soccer bets for Villarreal playing Mallorca. Featuring picks like NA player props. Analysis includes same game parlay, SGP picks, La Liga parlay odds, soccer parlay.

Villarreal vs Mallorca: Mallorca +4.5 Goal Handicap (-5000)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on 'Mallorca 4.5' is a solid choice given the recent performance of both teams. Villarreal's home record is inconsistent with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 games. Despite a higher average of shots on target (4.6 vs 2.8), they only average 1 goal per game, similar to Mallorca. Mallorca's away record is poor, but they've maintained a steady average of 1 goal per game. Additionally, Mallorca's expected goals (xG) is 1.46, close to Villarreal's 1.5, indicating a similar potential for scoring. Given Mallorca's 4.5 handicap, they only need to avoid a heavy defeat, which seems plausible considering Villarreal's average scoring rate. This, combined with Mallorca's consistent scoring, makes the 'Mallorca 4.5' bet a good choice.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
3
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
22 Nov 25 Head to Head (3-Way) Draw ✗ MISS
22 Nov 25 Moneyline Draw ✗ MISS
22 Nov 25 Spread Mallorca +4.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Mallorca vs Villarreal in the Soccer. The most recent game between them was Saturday 22 November 2025 at Estadio de la Cerámica. The model has generated 6 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

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