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Liverpool
VS
Bournemouth

Liverpool vs Bournemouth Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 20, 5:52AM UTC

Our model graded 5 markets for Liverpool vs Bournemouth and backs No hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $252.

Soccer
Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth
Outdoor
Sat 24 Jan 2026, 5:30PM
4
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
No Both Teams to Score +152

The model graded 5 markets for Liverpool vs Bournemouth (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $252 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 24 Jan 2026, 5:30PM at Vitality Stadium.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win55.6%
The price says39.7%
Best price+152
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Both Teams to Score No Lean56% chance +152
Draw No Bet Members only High79% chance Members
Shots on Target × 1 prop Highup to 74% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Soccer game on today's board →

Liverpool and Bournemouth last met on Sat 24 Jan 2026. What follows is the model's graded record from that game; a new preview appears here the moment the next one is priced. Today's board: every Soccer game priced right now.

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Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 60 bookmakers compared
Winner
Liverpool2.26+126Betfair Exchange (UK)
Draw4.00+300Betfred
Bournemouth3.30+230Unibet Nl
Total goals
Over3.52.33+133Kalshi
Under3.51.72-138Kalshi

Liverpool vs Bournemouth odds by bookmaker

60 books · best price in green
BookLiverpool winBournemouth winBournemouth +0.5Over 3.5Under 3.5
1xBet2.23+1233.22+222—2.32+1321.71-141
BetAnySports2.17+1173.20+2201.74-1352.19+1191.72-139
BetOnline2.17+1173.20+2201.74-1352.14+1141.72-139
BetUS2.15+1153.15+2151.74-135——
Bovada2.15+1153.10+210———
Coolbet2.23+1233.20+220———
GTbets2.11+1113.17+2171.74-1352.17+1171.66-152
LowVig2.17+1173.20+2201.74-1352.14+1141.72-139
MyBookie2.16+1163.06+2061.68-147——
Pinnacle2.18+1183.17+217———
Bally Bet2.12+1123.20+220—2.16+1161.68-147
BetMGM2.20+1203.00+200—2.20+1201.61-164
betPARX2.08+1083.15+215—2.16+1161.68-147
BetRivers2.12+1123.20+220—2.16+1161.68-147

Since the market opened: Bournemouth to win opened 3.07, best now 3.30; the over 3.5 opened 2.18, best now 2.41 (decimal, best book).

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 74 of 157 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
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Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Both Teams to Score
No
+152
+ 3 more markets
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All 4 game markets and 1 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 57,537+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
NoBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
LiverpoolDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Under on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Under
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Polymarket
on Over
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Liverpool

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

AFC Bournemouth

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Liverpool vs Bournemouth: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Hugo Ekitike Reims Shots on Target

+ 1 player prop graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineLiverpool @ BournemouthNo line posted
1-0-7past meetings (last 8)
Draw22%Home form7-7-6Away form13-5-2
past meetings, home wins1 / 8 home

In their last 8 meetings, Bournemouth have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 7. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Both Teams to ScoreLiverpool @ BournemouthNo line posted
64%both teams score %
2 / 8past meetings, both scored
Bournemout55%Liverpool65%
past meetings, both scored2 / 8 both scored

Both teams scored in 55% of Bournemouth's and 65% of Liverpool's recent matches; our model makes both teams scoring 64% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Total GoalsLiverpool @ BournemouthNo line posted
6 / 8past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.560%Away ov2.565%past meetings avg3.6
past meetings, over 2.56 / 8 over

The last 8 meetings averaged 3.6 goals, over 2.5 in 6 of them. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Liverpool @ Bournemouth — what the model found

Our model graded 5 betting markets for Liverpool at Bournemouth — 4 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

4
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 5 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 4 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Liverpool @ Bournemouth — where the money went

Since betting opened on Liverpool at Bournemouth, the market has moved away from Under across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Total Points — Under 2.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Bournemouth 0▲ Money came for this
Spread — Liverpool 0▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Over 3.25▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Over 2.5▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Under 3.25▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Under 3▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Over 3▼ Money drifted off this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

Liverpool @ Bournemouth — model preview

Expert analysis and top EPL betting picks for Bournemouth vs Liverpool. Includes analysis on key players like Hugo Ekitike. Discover EPL predictions, EPL game picks, soccer betting preview, Bournemouth vs Liverpool stats and odds.

Bournemouth vs Liverpool: Liverpool Draw No Bet (-244)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Liverpool's superior performance in recent games makes them the favorable choice for this bet. Their away record over the last five games (4-1-0) significantly outperforms Bournemouth's home record (1-0-4). Additionally, Liverpool's head-to-head record against Bournemouth in the last five encounters (4-0-1) demonstrates their dominance. Liverpool also has a higher average score (2) compared to Bournemouth (1) in the last five games, indicating a stronger offensive performance. Furthermore, Liverpool's expected goals (xG) of 2.06 outshines Bournemouth's 1.6, suggesting that they create better goal-scoring opportunities. Liverpool's lower opponent score of 0.6 compared to Bournemouth's 1.8 also indicates a stronger defensive line. Overall, Liverpool's superior offensive and defensive statistics make them the rational choice for the Draw No Bet market.

🔒 The other 1 write-up for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Liverpool vs Bournemouth in the Soccer. The most recent game between them was Saturday 24 January 2026 at Vitality Stadium. The model has generated 4 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 18 meetings on record
Liverpool 14–3 across the last 18 meetings · 1 draw · these games average 3.8 goals (meetings on record since 2015)
DateGameScoreWinner
24 Jan 2026Liverpool @ Bournemouth3–2Bournemouth
15 Aug 2025Bournemouth @ Liverpool4–2Liverpool
1 Feb 2025Liverpool @ Bournemouth0–2Liverpool
21 Sep 2024Bournemouth @ Liverpool3–0Liverpool
21 Jan 2024Liverpool @ Bournemouth0–4Liverpool
19 Aug 2023Bournemouth @ Liverpool3–1Liverpool
11 Mar 2023Liverpool @ Bournemouth1–0Bournemouth
27 Aug 2022Bournemouth @ Liverpool9–0Liverpool
7 Mar 2020Bournemouth @ Liverpool2–1Liverpool
7 Dec 2019Liverpool @ Bournemouth0–3Liverpool

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 18 meetings on file.

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