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Model picks & player props
Burnley
VS
Liverpool

Burnley vs Liverpool Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 10, 7:14PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

Soccer
Anfield, Liverpool
Outdoor
Sat 17 Jan 2026, 3:00PM
7
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Liverpool (Draw No Bet)
The model graded 7 markets for Burnley vs Liverpool (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $106 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 97.2%, fair odds 1.03, book price -1667, model edge +2.9%. Tip-off Sat 17 Jan 2026, 3:00PM at Anfield.

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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Draw No Bet
Liverpool
-1667
+ 6 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
LiverpoolDraw No BetPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
YesBoth Teams to ScorePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Burnley

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Liverpool

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Burnley vs Liverpool: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineBurnley @ LiverpoolNo line posted
6-1-1past meetings (last 8)
Draw54%Home form13-5-2Away form2-7-11
past meetings, home wins6 / 8 home

In their last 8 meetings, Liverpool have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 1. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Draw No BetBurnley @ LiverpoolNo line posted
97%Liverpool win %
6-1-1past meetings (last 8)
Home GF/g2.3Away GF/g1.2

Liverpool to win with the stake returned on a draw; the model prices this at 97%. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Both Teams to ScoreBurnley @ LiverpoolNo line posted
60%both teams score %
2 / 8past meetings, both scored
Liverpool65%Burnley75%
past meetings, both scored2 / 8 both scored

Both teams scored in 65% of Liverpool's and 75% of Burnley's recent matches; our model makes both teams scoring 60% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Total GoalsBurnley @ LiverpoolNo line posted
3 / 8past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.565%Away ov2.565%past meetings avg2.3
past meetings, over 2.53 / 8 over

The last 8 meetings averaged 2.3 goals, over 2.5 in 3 of them. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Burnley @ Liverpool — what the model found

Our model graded 7 betting markets for Burnley at Liverpool — 7 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

7
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 7 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

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Burnley @ Liverpool — model preview

Winning soccer bets for Liverpool vs Burnley? We break down EPL odds and insights. Includes analysis on key players like Hugo Ekitike. Explore EPL predictions, EPL game picks, soccer betting preview, Liverpool vs Burnley stats and odds.

Hugo Ekitike (Eintracht Frankfurt) Yes Anytime Goalscorer (-141)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Hugo Ekitike has a higher goal and shot average in away games, which is relevant as Burnley will be playing away against Liverpool. His average away goals stand at 0.6 compared to 0.2 overall, a threefold increase. Similarly, his shots on target average also increases to 1.6 in away games from an overall average of 0.6. This demonstrates his enhanced performance in away matches. Although his current hit streak is zero, the increased averages in away games indicate a higher probability of scoring. The model prediction of 0.62 also supports this, suggesting a favorable outcome. Therefore, betting on Ekitike as an anytime goalscorer is a statistically sound choice.

🔒 The other 1 write-up for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
1
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
17 Jan 26 Both Teams to Score Yes ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Burnley vs Liverpool in the Soccer. The most recent game between them was Saturday 17 January 2026 at Anfield. The model has generated 7 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

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