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Model picks & player props
Chelsea
VS
Bournemouth

Chelsea vs Bournemouth Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 7, 2:50AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth
Outdoor
Sat 6 Dec 2025, 3:00PM
3
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Bournemouth Head to Head (3-Way) +220

The model graded 3 markets for Chelsea vs Bournemouth (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $320 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 6 Dec 2025, 3:00PM at Vitality Stadium.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win48.6%
The price says31.3%
Best price+220
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Head to Head (3-Way) Bournemouth Lean49% chance +220
Moneyline Lean49% chance —
Both Teams to Score Lean59% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Soccer game on today's board →

Chelsea and Bournemouth last met on Sat 6 Dec 2025. What follows is the model's graded record from that game; a new preview appears here the moment the next one is priced. Today's board: every Soccer game priced right now.

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This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
No · $100 returned $242

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 55 of 114 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
This bet type · last timeSep 6
Arsenal
Chelsea @ Arsenal
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $126
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Head to Head (3-Way)
Bournemouth
+220
+ 2 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
BournemouthHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
BournemouthMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
NoBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Chelsea

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

AFC Bournemouth

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Chelsea vs Bournemouth: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineChelsea @ BournemouthNo line posted
1-3-4past meetings (last 8)
Draw24%Home form7-7-6Away form8-5-7
past meetings, home wins1 / 8 home

In their last 8 meetings, Bournemouth have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 4. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Both Teams to ScoreChelsea @ BournemouthNo line posted
59%both teams score %
4 / 8past meetings, both scored
Bournemout55%Chelsea50%
past meetings, both scored4 / 8 both scored

Both teams scored in 55% of Bournemouth's and 50% of Chelsea's recent matches; our model makes both teams scoring 59% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Total GoalsChelsea @ BournemouthNo line posted
4 / 8past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.560%Away ov2.555%past meetings avg2.4
past meetings, over 2.54 / 8 over

The last 8 meetings averaged 2.4 goals, over 2.5 in 4 of them. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Chelsea @ Bournemouth — what the model found

Our model graded 3 betting markets for Chelsea at Bournemouth — 3 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

3
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 3 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 2 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
06 Dec 25 Both Teams to Score No ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Chelsea vs Bournemouth in the Soccer. The most recent game between them was Saturday 6 December 2025 at Vitality Stadium. The model has generated 3 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 18 meetings on record
Chelsea 9–4 across the last 18 meetings · 5 draws · these games average 2.6 goals (meetings on record since 2015)
DateGameScoreWinner
30 Dec 2025Bournemouth @ Chelsea2–2Draw
6 Dec 2025Chelsea @ Bournemouth0–0Draw
14 Jan 2025Bournemouth @ Chelsea2–2Draw
14 Sep 2024Chelsea @ Bournemouth0–1Chelsea
19 May 2024Bournemouth @ Chelsea2–1Chelsea
17 Sep 2023Chelsea @ Bournemouth0–0Draw
6 May 2023Chelsea @ Bournemouth1–3Chelsea
27 Dec 2022Bournemouth @ Chelsea2–0Chelsea
29 Feb 2020Chelsea @ Bournemouth2–2Draw
14 Dec 2019Bournemouth @ Chelsea0–1Bournemouth

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 18 meetings on file.

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