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Soccer

Nathan Collins

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Value call

Nathan Collins (Wolverhampton Wanderers) has one live pick today: to receive a red card Yes that pays $5,100 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
4 in 100
Predicted
0.0 To Receive a Red Card
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 3.5% · the book's price implies 2.0% · gap +1.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Brentford @ Wolverhampton Wanderers
Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton, West Midlands · Outdoor
Nathan Collins
to receive a red card Yes
To Receive a Red Card Yes +5000 (51.00) · $100→$5,100
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 4 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$510.00 Odds+5000
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Nathan Collins is Yes on To Receive a Red Card.
On To Receive a Red Card, our numbers say this bet wins about 4 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 4%, the price says 2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current Soccer schedule.
Model updated Oct 22, 8:55PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls soccer total goals overs: +$3,669 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
To Receive a Red Card3.5%—2.0%28.45+1.6%

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AI Analysis

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Nathan Collins (Brentford) Yes To Receive Red Card (+5000)

Odds available at betrivers at time of publishing

The bet on Nathan Collins to receive a red card is based on his recent foul performance. Despite not having received a red card in his last five games, Collins has consistently committed fouls, averaging 1.2 fouls overall and 1.4 fouls in away games. This trend indicates that he plays aggressively, especially when playing away, increasing the chances of him committing a foul that could lead to a red card. Additionally, the English Premier League is known for its strict officiating, which further increases the odds of a red card. While the model prediction and implied probability are relatively low, they still indicate a possible outcome. Therefore, the bet is a calculated risk based on Collins' aggressive play style and the league's officiating standards.

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Pick History & Track Record

Nathan Collins — 2024 season

Nathan Collins scored 0 goals with 1 assist in 5 Premier League appearances for Brentford in the 2024 season, from 2 shots (0 on target) and an expected-goals total of 0.2.

0
Goals
1
Assists
0.2
xG
2
Shots
0
On target
1
Key passes
5
Apps
370
Minutes
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Nathan Collins (Wolverhampton Wanderers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for Soccer player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nathan Collins is Yes on To Receive a Red Card. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.6% on this pick. Their next game is Brentford vs Wolverhampton Wanderers at Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your Soccer betting strategy.

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