Full preview: Alaves vs Sevilla prediction, odds and every market
On Thursday 5 November 2026, Sevilla play Alaves in La Liga. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 8.5 Total Corners, priced at -135 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Sevilla vs Alaves: Over 8.5 Total Corners (-135)
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Sevilla takes on Alaves, the corner count is set to soar, making an 'Over 8.5' bet particularly enticing. Sevilla's recent home games showcase a relentless approach, averaging an impressive 14.2 shots per match, which inevitably leads to more corners as they pressure opponents. Their last five home fixtures saw them rack up an average of 1.8 corners per game, and with Alaves expected to absorb pressure, they'll likely be forced into defensive situations, resulting in more corner opportunities. Moreover, Sevilla's tendency to concede 1.4 goals at home presents a scenario where Alaves might push forward, creating their own corner chances. Given that both teams are desperate for points, the intensity should drive the corner count up, making the 'Over 8.5' line look like a smart play in this matchup. Expect a dynamic game where corners become a pivotal factor in the flow of play.
Sevilla vs Alaves: Alaves +0.75 Goal Handicap (-161)
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Sevilla prepares to host Alaves, the recent form of both teams paints a fascinating picture. Sevilla's home record has been shaky, with just one win in their last five, averaging only 1.4 goals scored at home while conceding the same. Their lack of potency is glaring, particularly with a non-existent expected goals (xG) output in the last five matches. Alaves, on the other hand, comes in with a resilient spirit, showing promise in their attacking play, which could exploit Sevilla's defensive frailties. With Alaves averaging a respectable 2.6 goals against opponents recently, they have the firepower to challenge Sevilla. The handicap of 0.75 feels favorable here; if Alaves can at least keep it tight, there's a solid chance they can either win outright or cover the spread. Backing Alaves in this spot seems savvy, given Sevilla's recent struggles at home.
That is how our model reads Sevilla v Alaves. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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