Full preview: Alaves vs Sevilla prediction, odds and every market
On Thursday 5 November 2026, Sevilla play Alaves in La Liga. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 8.5 Total Corners, priced at -135 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Sevilla vs Alaves: Over 8.5 Total Corners (-135)
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Sevilla prepares to host Alaves, the stage is set for a match that could see plenty of action, particularly when it comes to corners. Despite Sevilla's rocky home form recently, averaging 14.2 shots per game, their attacking approach should lead to a barrage of opportunities, especially against an Alaves side that concedes corners easily. In their last five outings, Sevilla has averaged almost 2.2 corners per game, which suggests they will be pushing forward and forcing the issue. With their home scoring average hovering at 1.4 goals, coupled with Alaves' tendency to leak chances, expect them to concede corners while trying to defend. Given Sevilla's dynamic play and an Alaves team that's likely to sit back, betting on over 8.5 corners seems not only reasonable but a clever play in this matchup. It's bound to be a corner-filled contest!
Sevilla vs Alaves: Alaves +0.75 Goal Handicap (-161)
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Sevilla prepares to host Alaves, recent trends paint a compelling picture for the visitors. Sevilla has struggled at home, boasting a dismal record of just one win in their last five outings, conceding an average of 2.6 goals per game. Their xG figures are worryingly low, indicating an inability to convert chances, while their defense has been porous, evidenced by the 1.4 goals they allow at home. On the flip side, Alaves has shown resilience, particularly against teams that have faltered defensively. With Sevilla's defense leaking goals and the visitors looking to exploit those weaknesses, backing Alaves with a 0.75 handicap seems prudent. They're on an upward trajectory, and with Sevilla's form wavering, this matchup presents an opportunity for Alaves to capitalize on a faltering home side. It could be a tight contest, but the odds favor Alaves making a strong showing.
That is how our model reads Sevilla v Alaves. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
Unlock the rest of this one
You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.
Unlock the full article