On Friday 6 November 2026, Sevilla play Alaves in La Liga. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 7.5 Total Corners, priced at -233 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Sevilla vs Alaves: Over 7.5 Total Corners (-233)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Sevilla prepares to host Alaves, the stage is set for a lively encounter that's bound to see plenty of corner kicks. Recent trends indicate Sevilla's attacking prowess, averaging 14.2 shots per game in their last five outings and racking up 2.2 corners per match. They've been pushing hard for results, leading to a flurry of offensive activity, especially at home. Alaves, on the other hand, tends to invite pressure, allowing opponents to pepper their goal; they contribute to corner counts by struggling to clear the ball effectively. Given Sevilla's recent home form, where they've seen an equal average of 1.4 goals scored and conceded, expect them to dominate possession and drive forward, generating ample corner opportunities. With both teams' styles aligning to produce over 7.5 corners, this bet feels like a solid play in what promises to be an engaging clash.

Sevilla vs Alaves: Alaves +0.75 Goal Handicap (-154)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As we look ahead to Sevilla's clash with Alaves, it's hard to ignore the recent trends that favor the visitors. Sevilla's home form has been shaky, with just a single win in their last five matches. They've been conceding an average of 2.6 goals per game lately, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities that Alaves could exploit. Notably, Alaves has shown resilience, and their xG numbers hint at a more potent attack than Sevilla's current output-averaging just 1.6 goals per match. Despite Sevilla's historical strength at home, their recent struggles raise questions. Alaves, on the other hand, has the momentum and can capitalize on Sevilla's defensive lapses. With the handicap set at +0.75, backing Alaves not only seems sensible but also a potentially rewarding move. They've got the firepower to not just compete but possibly come away with points.

That is how our model reads Sevilla v Alaves. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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