On Thursday 20 August 2026, Nice play Lorient in Ligue 1. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Nice vs Lorient: Lorient +0.75 Goal Handicap, priced at -196 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Nice vs Lorient: Lorient +0.75 Goal Handicap (-196)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As Nice prepares to host Lorient, the recent form paints a concerning picture for the home side. With just one win in their last five outings, Nice has struggled to find the back of the net, averaging a meager 0.6 goals per game while conceding an average of 2.0 at home. In stark contrast, Lorient has shown resilience, managing to score two goals per game recently and boasting a solid away record that includes a win against Nice in their last encounter. Despite both teams' xG figures sitting at zero, Lorient’s attacking thrust and higher shot totals suggest they are more likely to capitalize on chances. With Nice's defensive frailties and Lorient’s recent scoring form, opting for Lorient at -0.75 on the handicap seems like a smart play to leverage the visitors' momentum against a struggling home side.
Nice vs Lorient: Lorient +0.5 Goal Handicap (-145)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Looking at the matchup between Nice and Lorient, it’s hard to ignore the recent form of both teams. Nice has really struggled at home, going winless in their last five with a paltry average of just 0.6 goals scored. Their attacking woes are compounded by a dismal xG of zero in those matches, indicating they’re not even creating quality chances. On the flip side, Lorient has shown some resilience away from home, scoring an average of 1.4 goals in their last five away fixtures. With Nice failing to find the net effectively, and Lorient scoring more consistently, backing Lorient on a +0.5 handicap seems like a smart move. The trends suggest Lorient not only has the momentum but also the attacking capability to take advantage of Nice's current struggles.
Nice vs Lorient: Lorient +0.25 Goal Handicap (-110)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As Nice prepares to host Lorient, it's hard to overlook the recent form of both teams. Nice has struggled mightily at home, with a dismal record of 0-4-1 in their last five matches and a mere 0.4 goals per game at home. Their xG suggests they aren’t creating much, either, registering a shocking average of zero. Meanwhile, Lorient comes into this match with a more optimistic outlook, averaging two goals over their last five fixtures and showing resilience on the road with a 1-2-2 away record. Their attacking stats, buoyed by solid shot creation, imply they will pose a significant threat. Given Nice’s recent form and Lorient’s ability to score, backing Lorient at +0.25 looks promising. They’re positioned to at least secure a draw, if not a victory, making this handicap an enticing option for savvy bettors.
That is how our model reads Nice v Lorient. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
Unlock the rest of this one
You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.
Unlock the full article